Mulya.ai
Ticker
XOM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?5.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.348
Beta (levered) ?0.374
Terminal OM% ?18.9%
Segment conc. ?69% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 19.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

XOM · Exxon Mobil Corporation

$160.672026-05-17
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated; Sub-Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$484
+201.2% vs market
Base · active
$227
+41.4% vs market
Bear
$132
-17.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $132
Median $145
Market $161
Base $227
Bull $484
Market Price $161
Mulya.ai Base $227
Analysts Median $145
Mulya.ai IV range ($132 · $484)
Analysts Range ($123 · $183)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$276.7B8.7%24.4%$18.1B$11.2B$29.3B3.6%8.7%$207.6B$5.44
2022.Q4$398.7B44.1%16.1%25.9%$47.4B$5.7B$53.2B5.4%23.1%$203.3B$13.15
2023.Q4$334.7B-16.0%13.3%29.2%$31.5B−$3.5B$27.9B5.3%15.2%$211.0B$8.50
2024.Q4$339.2B1.4%11.7%28.3%$28.4B$574MM$29.0B6.0%11.6%$278.4B$7.95
2025.Q4$323.9B-4.5%10.5%27.9%$24.5B−$8.3B$16.2B5.7%8.2%$319.0B$6.8120.1
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.9%
2026.Q4$342.1B+5.6%10.5%27.1%$26.1B−$8.4B$17.7B5.9%$16.7B8.1%$327.4B$6.1726.0
2027.Q4$360.7B+5.5%12.2%26.3%$32.3B−$10.5B$21.9B6.2%$19.4B9.7%$337.8B$7.6321.1
2028.Q4$379.8B+5.3%13.8%25.5%$39.2B−$13.6B$25.6B6.5%$21.3B11.4%$351.4B$9.2517.4
2029.Q4$399.2B+5.1%15.5%24.7%$46.7B−$6.9B$39.8B6.7%$31.1B13.2%$358.4B$11.0214.6
2030.Q4$418.9B+4.9%18.9%23.9%$60.3B−$7.6B$52.6B7.0%$38.5B16.6%$366.0B$14.2211.3
Term. Yr+$541.8B4.1%18.9%20.0%$82.0B−$17.6B$64.3B8.6%$717.8B19.1%
Active scenario IV: $227 (+41.4% vs market)