Mulya.ai
Ticker
XOM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?5.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.326
Beta (levered) ?0.346
Terminal OM% ?18.9%
Segment conc. ?69% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

XOM · Exxon Mobil Corporation

$136.542026-07-21
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated; Sub-Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$554
+306.0% vs market
Base · active
$486
+255.9% vs market
Bear
$136
-0.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $136
Market $137
Median $175
Base $486
Bull $554
Market Price $137
Mulya.ai Base $486
Analysts Median $175
Mulya.ai IV range ($136 · $554)
Analysts Range ($123 · $185)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$334.7B13.3%29.5%$31.3B$1.3B$32.6B4.9%14.8%$212.4B$8.61
2024.Q4$334.7B0.0%13.3%28.3%$31.9B$574MM$32.5B6.0%13.0%$278.4B$8.61
2025.Q1$339.2B1.4%11.7%28.2%$28.5B−$3.0B$25.5B5.0%10.1%$283.2B$8.05
2025.Q4$339.2B0.0%11.7%27.9%$28.6B−$8.3B$20.3B5.7%9.5%$319.0B$8.05
2026.Q1$326.0B-3.9%9.0%28.5%$21.0B−$9.1B$11.9B4.8%6.9%$293.6B$6.0519.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 12.6%
2027.Q1$395.6B+21.3%9.0%27.6%$25.8B−$8.4B$17.4B5.8%$16.4B8.7%$302.0B$6.1722.1
2028.Q1$472.4B+19.4%11.0%26.8%$38.0B−$13.0B$25.0B6.1%$22.2B12.3%$315.0B$9.0915.0
2029.Q1$555.1B+17.5%13.0%25.9%$53.3B−$23.6B$29.7B6.4%$24.8B16.3%$338.7B$12.7510.7
2030.Q1$641.7B+15.6%14.9%25.1%$71.9B−$15.8B$56.0B6.7%$44.0B20.7%$354.5B$17.187.9
2031.Q1$729.5B+13.7%18.9%24.2%$104.5B−$18.1B$86.4B7.0%$63.3B28.7%$372.7B$24.985.5
Term. Yr+$1110.5B4.1%18.9%20.0%$168.0B−$29.2B$138.8B8.6%$1555.8B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $486 (+255.9% vs market)