Mulya.ai
Ticker
WM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr5
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?6.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.547
Beta (levered) ?0.651
Terminal OM% ?19.7%
Segment conc. ?21% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

WM · Waste Management, Inc.

$235.422026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Waste Management; Sub-Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$163
-30.7% vs market
Base · active
$95
-59.8% vs market
Bear
$92
-60.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $92
Base $95
Bull $163
Market $235
Median $258
Market Price $235
Mulya.ai Base $95
Analysts Median $258
Mulya.ai IV range ($92 · $163)
Analysts Range ($238 · $264)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$17.9B16.8%22.6%$2.3B$242MM$2.6B4.7%11.4%$20.4B$4.49
2022.Q4$19.7B9.9%17.5%23.2%$2.6B−$1.8B$841MM6.3%12.6%$21.5B$5.53
2023.Q4$20.4B3.7%18.7%24.7%$2.9B−$1.9B$968MM6.1%13.0%$22.7B$5.70
2024.Q4$22.1B8.0%18.8%20.6%$3.3B−$8.4B−$5.1B6.8%12.1%$31.7B$6.79
2025.Q4$25.2B14.2%18.3%20.9%$3.6B−$921MM$2.7B6.6%11.3%$32.7B$6.6920.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5%
2026.Q4$26.5B+5.0%18.2%20.8%$3.8B−$3.8B−$25MM6.9%−$23MM11.0%$36.5B$9.4424.9
2027.Q4$27.9B+5.4%18.2%20.7%$4.0B−$3.0B$1.0B7.0%$895MM10.6%$39.5B$9.9623.6
2028.Q4$29.2B+4.8%18.2%20.6%$4.2B−$2.1B$2.1B7.2%$1.7B10.4%$41.7B$10.4522.5
2029.Q4$30.9B+5.9%18.2%20.6%$4.5B−$3.9B$539MM7.4%$410MM10.3%$45.6B$11.0721.3
2030.Q4$32.7B+5.6%18.2%20.5%$4.7B−$3.6B$1.1B7.5%$784MM10.0%$49.2B$11.7120.1
Term. Yr+$42.8B4.1%19.7%20.0%$6.7B−$2.1B$4.6B8.6%$49.3B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $95 (-59.8% vs market)