VST · Vistra Corp.
$151.182026-05-17Sector: Utilities; Industry: Independent Power Producers; Sub-Industry: Electric Utilities
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Base · active
$177
+16.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($-7 · $179) Analysts Range ($203 · $293) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $13.3B | — | -7.4% | 26.6% | −$725MM | −$284MM | −$1.0B | 10.8% | — | -4.1% | $17.7B | $-3.75 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $17.8B | 33.8% | 14.8% | 22.4% | $2.0B | −$1.8B | $216MM | 10.4% | — | 11.6% | $17.5B | $-3.61 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $15.5B | -12.9% | 25.2% | 25.4% | $2.9B | $1.9B | $4.8B | 9.8% | — | 17.3% | $16.2B | $4.39 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $19.4B | 24.7% | 32.1% | 18.9% | $5.1B | −$3.1B | $2.0B | 10.4% | — | 26.8% | $21.4B | $7.83 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $16.7B | -13.7% | 5.8% | 15.9% | $820MM | −$1.7B | −$844MM | 11.6% | — | 3.6% | $24.4B | $2.78 | 52.6 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 10.1% |
| 2026.Q4 | $23.3B | +39.6% | 6.9% | 16.4% | $1.4B | −$555MM | $800MM | 9.9% | $728MM | 5.5% | $24.9B | $3.99 | 37.9 |
| 2027.Q4 | $25.8B | +10.3% | 7.5% | 16.8% | $1.6B | −$295MM | $1.3B | 9.8% | $1.1B | 6.4% | $25.2B | $4.73 | 32.0 |
| 2028.Q4 | $28.2B | +9.6% | 10.1% | 17.2% | $2.4B | −$555MM | $1.8B | 9.7% | $1.4B | 9.3% | $25.8B | $6.97 | 21.7 |
| 2029.Q4 | $30.7B | +8.8% | 11.2% | 17.6% | $2.8B | −$957MM | $1.9B | 9.5% | $1.3B | 10.8% | $26.7B | $8.37 | 18.1 |
| 2030.Q4 | $33.1B | +8.0% | 11.2% | 18.0% | $3.1B | −$1.1B | $2.0B | 9.4% | $1.3B | 11.2% | $27.8B | $8.99 | 16.8 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $45.4B | 4.1% | 23.6% | 20.0% | $8.6B | −$1.6B | $7.0B | 8.6% | $63.5B | 22.1% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $177 (+16.9% vs market)