Mulya.ai
Ticker
VST
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.043
Beta (levered) ?1.347
Terminal OM% ?23.6%
Segment conc. ?51% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?D · 15.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

VST · Vistra Corp.

$163.492026-07-21
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Independent Power Producers; Sub-Industry: Electric Utilities

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$121
-26.1% vs market
Base · active
$114
-30.3% vs market
Bear
$0
-108.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-14
Base $114
Bull $121
Market $163
Median $220
Market Price $163
Mulya.ai Base $114
Analysts Median $220
Mulya.ai IV range ($-14 · $121)
Analysts Range ($187 · $293)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$15.5B25.2%27.6%$2.8B−$2.6B$275MM10.1%13.7%$20.7B$4.39
2024.Q4$15.5B0.0%25.2%18.9%$3.2B−$3.1B$115MM10.4%15.1%$21.4B$4.39
2025.Q1$19.4B24.7%32.1%16.5%$5.2B−$63MM$5.1B10.8%24.1%$21.7B$7.83
2025.Q4$19.4B0.0%32.1%15.9%$5.2B−$1.7B$3.6B11.6%22.7%$24.4B$7.83
2026.Q1$16.2B-16.3%2.1%19.4%$271MM−$1.5B−$1.2B14.2%1.1%$24.8B$6.60165.3
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 9.5%
2027.Q1$23.8B+47.1%6.9%19.4%$1.3B−$695MM$638MM12.2%$568MM5.3%$25.5B$3.9241.7
2028.Q1$25.7B+7.9%7.2%19.5%$1.5B−$250MM$1.2B11.8%$992MM5.8%$25.8B$4.3937.2
2029.Q1$27.6B+7.4%8.0%19.6%$1.8B−$466MM$1.3B11.4%$933MM6.8%$26.3B$5.2131.4
2030.Q1$29.6B+7.0%9.9%19.6%$2.3B−$454MM$1.9B11.1%$1.2B8.9%$26.7B$6.9023.7
2031.Q1$31.5B+6.5%9.9%19.7%$2.5B−$514MM$2.0B10.7%$1.2B9.3%$27.2B$7.3422.3
Term. Yr+$41.9B4.1%23.6%20.0%$7.9B−$2.5B$5.4B8.6%$44.3B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $114 (-30.3% vs market)