UPS · United Parcel Service, Inc.
$98.182026-05-17Sector: Industrials; Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics; Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Base · active
$87
-11.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($70 · $154) Analysts Range ($85 · $128) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $97.2B | — | 13.5% | 22.3% | $10.2B | −$2.5B | $7.7B | 7.6% | — | 38.9% | $26.2B | $15.11 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $100.0B | 2.9% | 13.0% | 22.1% | $10.1B | −$2.7B | $7.4B | 8.5% | — | 34.5% | $32.5B | $13.54 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $90.7B | -9.3% | 10.3% | 21.8% | $7.3B | −$3.4B | $4.0B | 8.2% | — | 22.0% | $34.2B | $7.86 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $90.9B | 0.2% | 9.6% | 22.3% | $6.7B | $1.0B | $7.7B | 8.8% | — | 20.2% | $32.4B | $6.78 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $88.7B | -2.4% | 9.0% | 22.2% | $6.2B | −$2.1B | $4.2B | 8.8% | — | 17.5% | $38.9B | $6.53 | 10.4 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.3% |
| 2026.Q4 | $89.4B | +0.8% | 9.6% | 22.0% | $6.7B | −$960MM | $5.7B | 8.8% | $5.3B | 17.0% | $39.9B | $7.85 | 12.5 |
| 2027.Q4 | $93.2B | +4.3% | 9.6% | 21.8% | $7.0B | −$3.1B | $3.9B | 8.8% | $3.3B | 16.9% | $43.0B | $8.21 | 12.0 |
| 2028.Q4 | $97.2B | +4.3% | 9.6% | 21.6% | $7.3B | −$2.3B | $5.1B | 8.7% | $3.9B | 16.6% | $45.3B | $8.59 | 11.4 |
| 2029.Q4 | $103.4B | +6.4% | 9.6% | 21.3% | $7.8B | −$4.2B | $3.6B | 8.7% | $2.6B | 16.5% | $49.5B | $9.16 | 10.7 |
| 2030.Q4 | $109.7B | +6.1% | 9.6% | 21.1% | $8.3B | −$3.9B | $4.4B | 8.7% | $2.9B | 16.2% | $53.3B | $9.75 | 10.1 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $140.0B | 4.1% | 8.4% | 20.0% | $9.4B | −$3.0B | $6.5B | 8.6% | $62.6B | 13.1% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $87 (-11.0% vs market)