Mulya.ai
Ticker
UNP
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.4%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.952
Beta (levered) ?1.111
Terminal OM% ?31.0%
Segment conc. ?35% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AA · 0.90%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 10.2%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

UNP · Union Pacific Corporation

$244.712026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Railroads; Sub-Industry: Rail Transportation

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$266
+8.6% vs market
Base · active
$145
-40.7% vs market
Bear
$110
-55.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $110
Base $145
Market $245
Bull $266
Median $283
Market Price $245
Mulya.ai Base $145
Analysts Median $283
Mulya.ai IV range ($110 · $266)
Analysts Range ($245 · $311)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$21.8B42.8%23.1%$7.2B$1.8B$9.0B7.0%16.6%$43.2B$10.99
2022.Q4$24.9B14.1%39.9%22.9%$7.7B−$1.2B$6.5B8.0%17.4%$44.8B$11.79
2023.Q4$24.1B-3.0%37.7%22.5%$7.0B−$1.9B$5.2B7.8%15.4%$46.7B$10.75
2024.Q4$24.3B0.5%40.1%23.3%$7.5B−$868MM$6.6B8.4%15.8%$47.4B$11.37
2025.Q4$24.5B1.1%40.1%22.1%$7.7B−$3.5B$4.2B8.4%16.0%$48.0B$12.0314.8
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 9.8%
2026.Q4$25.4B+3.5%40.1%21.9%$7.9B−$2.0B$5.9B8.4%$5.5B16.2%$50.0B$13.3818.3
2027.Q4$26.6B+4.9%40.1%21.7%$8.4B−$2.8B$5.6B8.4%$4.8B16.3%$52.8B$14.0817.4
2028.Q4$30.0B+12.8%40.1%21.5%$9.5B−$7.1B$2.4B8.4%$1.9B16.8%$59.9B$15.9315.4
2029.Q4$35.3B+17.6%40.1%21.3%$11.1B−$13.8B−$2.6B8.4%−$1.9B16.7%$73.7B$18.7813.0
2030.Q4$41.0B+16.1%40.1%21.1%$13.0B−$14.6B−$1.6B8.5%−$1.1B16.0%$88.3B$21.8511.2
Term. Yr+$65.1B4.1%31.0%20.0%$16.2B−$6.5B$9.6B8.6%$94.8B10.2%
Active scenario IV: $145 (-40.7% vs market)