Mulya.ai
Ticker
UAL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.291
Beta (levered) ?1.859
Terminal OM% ?6.9%
Segment conc. ?97% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

UAL · United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

$136.112026-07-21
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Airlines, Airports & Air Services; Sub-Industry: Passenger Airlines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$78
-42.5% vs market
Base · active
$58
-57.5% vs market
Bear
$40
-70.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $40
Base $58
Bull $78
Median $135
Market $136
Market Price $136
Mulya.ai Base $58
Analysts Median $135
Mulya.ai IV range ($40 · $78)
Analysts Range ($112 · $182)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$53.7B8.5%22.8%$3.5B−$8.2B−$4.7B9.1%12.7%$27.7B$8.01
2024.Q4$53.7B0.0%8.5%24.5%$3.5B−$8.4B−$4.9B9.6%11.6%$32.1B$8.01
2025.Q1$57.1B6.2%9.7%23.9%$4.2B−$7.7B−$3.5B9.3%13.3%$31.2B$9.64
2025.Q4$57.1B0.0%9.7%22.1%$4.3B−$11.6B−$7.3B9.8%13.1%$34.4B$9.64
2026.Q1$60.5B6.0%9.2%22.0%$4.3B−$9.1B−$4.8B9.1%12.9%$32.4B$11.218.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.9%
2027.Q1$67.8B+12.1%10.0%21.8%$5.3B−$8.9B−$3.6B9.4%−$3.3B14.3%$41.3B$13.689.9
2028.Q1$71.1B+4.9%9.3%21.6%$5.2B−$2.8B$2.4B9.3%$2.0B12.2%$44.2B$13.689.9
2029.Q1$75.1B+5.8%8.8%21.4%$5.2B−$2.7B$2.5B9.3%$1.9B11.3%$46.9B$13.769.9
2030.Q1$79.8B+6.2%8.1%21.2%$5.1B−$4.7B$438MM9.2%$307MM10.4%$51.5B$13.869.8
2031.Q1$84.5B+5.9%6.9%21.0%$4.6B−$4.5B$171MM9.1%$110MM8.6%$56.0B$13.0310.4
Term. Yr+$111.3B4.1%6.9%20.0%$6.2B−$2.9B$3.2B8.6%$30.2B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $58 (-57.5% vs market)