Mulya.ai
Ticker
UAL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.286
Beta (levered) ?2.145
Terminal OM% ?6.9%
Segment conc. ?97% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A- · 1.45%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

UAL · United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

$92.212026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Airlines, Airports & Air Services; Sub-Industry: Passenger Airlines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$63
-32.0% vs market
Base · active
$33
-63.9% vs market
Bear
$22
-76.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $22
Base $33
Bull $63
Market $92
Median $141
Market Price $92
Mulya.ai Base $33
Analysts Median $141
Mulya.ai IV range ($22 · $63)
Analysts Range ($110 · $150)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$24.6B-4.1%23.2%−$785MM$1.5B$716MM10.8%-4.0%$19.5B$-6.01
2022.Q4$45.0B82.5%5.6%25.6%$1.9B−$5.3B−$3.4B9.9%8.5%$24.9B$2.25
2023.Q4$53.7B19.5%8.5%22.7%$3.5B−$8.6B−$5.1B9.3%12.5%$31.8B$8.01
2024.Q4$57.1B6.2%9.7%24.5%$4.2B−$9.2B−$5.0B9.6%12.9%$32.9B$9.63
2025.Q4$59.1B3.5%8.7%22.1%$4.0B−$11.1B−$7.1B9.8%11.9%$33.8B$10.255.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.2%
2026.Q4$64.7B+9.5%9.4%21.9%$4.8B−$9.5B−$4.7B9.5%−$4.3B12.3%$43.3B$12.337.5
2027.Q4$68.8B+6.3%8.9%21.7%$4.8B−$4.2B$607MM9.4%$507MM10.6%$47.5B$12.627.3
2028.Q4$72.6B+5.5%8.4%21.5%$4.8B−$2.8B$2.0B9.3%$1.5B9.8%$50.3B$12.807.2
2029.Q4$75.8B+4.4%7.9%21.3%$4.7B−$4.0B$682MM9.2%$477MM9.0%$54.3B$12.827.2
2030.Q4$79.4B+4.7%6.9%21.1%$4.3B−$4.1B$247MM9.1%$158MM7.7%$58.4B$12.237.5
Term. Yr+$102.1B4.1%6.9%20.0%$5.7B−$2.7B$3.0B8.6%$27.6B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $33 (-63.9% vs market)