Mulya.ai
Ticker
TSLA
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.798
Beta (levered) ?1.806
Terminal OM% ?18.7%
Segment conc. ?73% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 21.7%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

TSLA · Tesla, Inc.

$379.712026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Auto - Manufacturers; Sub-Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$149
-60.8% vs market
Base · active
$123
-67.5% vs market
Bear
$63
-83.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $63
Base $123
Bull $149
Market $380
Median $450
Market Price $380
Mulya.ai Base $123
Analysts Median $450
Mulya.ai IV range ($63 · $149)
Analysts Range ($360 · $548)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$96.8B14.8%0.0%$21.9B−$10.1B$11.9B11.8%41.5%$52.8B$4.24
2024.Q4$96.8B0.0%14.8%20.5%$11.4B−$7.9B$3.5B12.7%21.3%$54.5B$4.24
2025.Q1$97.7B0.9%11.7%19.9%$9.2B−$4.5B$4.7B12.6%16.5%$56.5B$2.02
2025.Q4$97.7B0.0%11.7%27.0%$8.3B−$3.9B$4.5B13.0%14.7%$57.2B$2.02
2026.Q1$97.9B0.2%8.1%27.8%$5.7B−$5.4B$261MM12.4%9.4%$63.7B$1.10170.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 12.1%
2027.Q1$106.1B+8.4%13.0%27.0%$10.1B−$15.0B−$4.9B11.8%−$4.4B14.2%$78.8B$1.09348.4
2028.Q1$122.9B+15.9%14.2%26.2%$12.9B−$19.3B−$6.4B11.5%−$5.1B14.5%$98.1B$1.62234.4
2029.Q1$159.2B+29.5%15.3%25.4%$18.2B−$30.1B−$11.9B11.2%−$8.6B16.1%$128.1B$2.56148.3
2030.Q1$227.1B+42.6%16.4%24.7%$28.1B−$37.9B−$9.8B10.9%−$6.4B19.1%$166.0B$4.3387.7
2031.Q1$241.2B+6.2%18.7%23.9%$34.3B−$8.1B$26.2B10.5%$15.4B20.2%$174.2B$6.0163.2
Term. Yr+$319.6B4.1%18.7%20.0%$47.8B−$9.0B$38.8B8.6%$321.5B21.7%
Active scenario IV: $123 (-67.5% vs market)