TSLA · Tesla, Inc.
$360.592026-05-17Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Auto - Manufacturers; Sub-Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
R&D capitalized (5yr)Base · active
$224
-38.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($68 · $257) Analysts Range ($300 · $548) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $53.8B | — | 22.1% | 11.0% | $10.6B | −$6.5B | $4.0B | 12.9% | — | 43.3% | $24.4B | $1.56 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $81.5B | 51.4% | 30.5% | 8.3% | $22.8B | −$9.1B | $13.8B | 12.7% | — | 80.4% | $32.3B | $3.56 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $96.8B | 18.8% | 16.7% | 0.0% | $24.3B | −$8.7B | $15.6B | 12.1% | — | 60.5% | $48.0B | $4.24 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $97.7B | 0.9% | 13.2% | 20.5% | $10.2B | −$8.5B | $1.7B | 12.7% | — | 19.9% | $55.2B | $2.01 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $94.8B | -2.9% | 8.4% | 27.0% | $5.8B | −$5.3B | $480MM | 13.0% | — | 10.0% | $60.6B | $1.07 | 160.9 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 19.6% |
| 2026.Q4 | $104.3B | +9.9% | 15.2% | 26.3% | $11.7B | −$17.1B | −$5.4B | 12.3% | −$4.8B | 16.9% | $77.8B | $1.00 | 360.6 |
| 2027.Q4 | $121.1B | +16.1% | 16.4% | 25.6% | $14.8B | −$18.9B | −$4.2B | 11.9% | −$3.3B | 16.9% | $96.7B | $1.53 | 235.7 |
| 2028.Q4 | $143.6B | +18.6% | 17.6% | 24.9% | $19.0B | −$18.3B | $615MM | 11.6% | $439MM | 17.9% | $115.1B | $2.25 | 160.3 |
| 2029.Q4 | $213.7B | +48.9% | 18.8% | 24.2% | $30.4B | −$46.9B | −$16.5B | 11.2% | −$10.6B | 21.9% | $162.0B | $4.03 | 89.5 |
| 2030.Q4 | $282.3B | +32.1% | 21.1% | 23.5% | $45.6B | −$44.6B | $1.0B | 10.8% | $584MM | 24.7% | $206.6B | $7.07 | 51.0 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $591.7B | 4.1% | 21.1% | 20.0% | $99.9B | −$17.4B | $82.5B | 8.6% | $668.0B | 23.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $224 (-38.0% vs market)