Mulya.ai
Ticker
TSCO
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.801
Beta (levered) ?0.900
Terminal OM% ?14.4%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

TSCO · Tractor Supply Company

$31.212026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Specialty Retail; Sub-Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$43
+37.0% vs market
Base · active
$36
+16.9% vs market
Bear
$34
+10.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $31
Bear $34
Base $36
Bull $43
Median $55
Market Price $31
Mulya.ai Base $36
Analysts Median $55
Mulya.ai IV range ($34 · $43)
Analysts Range ($32 · $63)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$14.6B11.8%22.7%$1.3B−$3.7B−$2.3B5.8%18.1%$7.4B$2.10
2024.Q4$14.6B0.0%11.8%22.1%$1.3B−$3.8B−$2.5B7.5%17.9%$7.6B$2.10
2025.Q1$14.9B2.2%11.5%22.2%$1.3B−$3.9B−$2.6B6.7%17.2%$7.9B$2.09
2025.Q4$14.9B0.0%11.5%21.6%$1.3B−$4.0B−$2.6B7.3%16.9%$8.0B$2.09
2026.Q1$15.6B5.1%10.8%21.8%$1.3B−$4.0B−$2.7B6.3%16.3%$8.2B$2.059.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.1%
2027.Q1$16.4B+4.7%10.9%21.6%$1.4B−$3.8B−$2.4B7.3%−$2.2B13.9%$12.0B$2.2813.7
2028.Q1$17.3B+5.8%10.9%21.5%$1.5B−$1.2B$247MM7.5%$214MM11.8%$13.3B$2.4212.9
2029.Q1$18.5B+6.7%10.9%21.3%$1.6B−$875MM$720MM7.6%$580MM11.6%$14.1B$2.5912.1
2030.Q1$19.6B+6.0%10.9%21.1%$1.7B−$1.6B$55MM7.7%$41MM11.3%$15.8B$2.7511.3
2031.Q1$20.6B+5.3%10.9%20.9%$1.8B−$1.3B$500MM7.8%$347MM10.9%$17.1B$2.9010.8
Term. Yr+$26.9B4.1%14.4%20.0%$3.1B−$966MM$2.1B8.6%$22.0B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $36 (+16.9% vs market)