Mulya.ai
Ticker
TGT
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.991
Beta (levered) ?1.178
Terminal OM% ?4.9%
Segment conc. ?27% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

TGT · Target Corporation

$140.222026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Discount Stores; Sub-Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$181
+29.4% vs market
Base · active
$108
-23.2% vs market
Bear
$99
-29.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $99
Base $108
Median $133
Market $140
Bull $181
Market Price $140
Mulya.ai Base $108
Analysts Median $133
Mulya.ai IV range ($99 · $181)
Analysts Range ($114 · $162)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$107.4B5.3%22.3%$4.4B−$164MM$4.3B8.2%16.8%$26.3B$9.08
2024.Q4$107.4B0.0%5.3%22.2%$4.4B$122MM$4.6B8.7%16.9%$26.2B$9.08
2025.Q1$106.6B-0.8%5.2%22.8%$4.3B−$911MM$3.4B8.7%16.0%$27.5B$8.98
2025.Q4$106.6B0.0%5.2%22.9%$4.3B−$901MM$3.4B8.9%19.6%$16.3B$8.98
2026.Q1$106.4B-0.2%4.5%21.9%$3.7B−$534MM$3.2B8.5%16.8%$28.3B$7.5713.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.4%
2027.Q1$105.8B+-0.6%5.6%21.7%$4.6B$0MM$4.6B8.5%$4.3B16.4%$28.3B$10.2013.7
2028.Q1$109.7B+3.7%5.6%21.5%$4.8B−$114MM$4.7B8.5%$4.0B17.1%$28.4B$10.6013.2
2029.Q1$113.8B+3.8%5.6%21.3%$5.0B−$216MM$4.8B8.5%$3.8B17.6%$28.6B$11.0312.7
2030.Q1$118.2B+3.8%5.6%21.1%$5.2B−$6.2B−$930MM8.5%−$671MM16.5%$34.8B$11.4712.2
2031.Q1$122.7B+3.9%5.6%21.0%$5.4B−$4.3B$1.1B8.5%$759MM14.8%$39.1B$11.9511.7
Term. Yr+$155.4B4.1%4.9%20.0%$6.1B−$1.9B$4.2B8.6%$40.8B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $108 (-23.2% vs market)