Mulya.ai
Ticker
TGT
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr5
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.874
Beta (levered) ?0.943
Terminal OM% ?4.9%
Segment conc. ?27% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 14.5%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

TGT · Target Corporation

$120.492026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Discount Stores; Sub-Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$215
+78.7% vs market
Base · active
$135
+12.0% vs market
Bear
$129
+6.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Median $118
Market $120
Bear $129
Base $135
Bull $215
Market Price $120
Mulya.ai Base $135
Analysts Median $118
Mulya.ai IV range ($129 · $215)
Analysts Range ($81 · $145)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$106.0B8.4%22.0%$7.0B−$2.0B$5.0B7.5%33.4%$20.9B$15.00
2022.Q4$109.1B2.9%3.5%18.7%$3.1B−$5.3B−$2.1B8.4%13.5%$25.4B$6.00
2023.Q4$107.4B-1.6%5.3%21.9%$4.5B−$962MM$3.5B8.1%17.3%$26.0B$8.94
2024.Q4$106.6B-0.8%5.2%22.2%$4.3B$122MM$4.5B8.7%16.6%$26.2B$8.83
2025.Q4$106.2B-0.3%5.3%22.9%$4.3B−$901MM$3.4B8.9%20.3%$16.3B$8.7310.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 2.9%
2026.Q4$104.8B+-1.4%5.6%22.6%$4.5B$0MM$4.5B8.1%$4.2B28.0%$16.3B$9.8212.3
2027.Q4$106.8B+1.9%5.6%22.4%$4.7B−$48MM$4.6B8.1%$3.9B28.6%$16.3B$10.0512.0
2028.Q4$109.7B+2.8%5.6%22.1%$4.8B−$121MM$4.7B8.2%$3.7B29.3%$16.4B$10.3611.6
2029.Q4$113.2B+3.2%5.6%21.8%$5.0B$0MM$5.0B8.2%$3.6B30.2%$16.4B$10.7411.2
2030.Q4$117.0B+3.3%5.6%21.5%$5.2B$0MM$5.2B8.3%$3.5B31.4%$16.4B$11.1410.8
Term. Yr+$146.7B4.1%4.9%20.0%$5.8B−$1.6B$4.1B8.6%$41.3B14.5%
Active scenario IV: $135 (+12.0% vs market)