Mulya.ai
Ticker
TDG
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.918
Beta (levered) ?1.245
Terminal OM% ?32.5%
Segment conc. ?52% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BBB · 1.75%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 10.9%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

TDG · TransDigm Group Incorporated

$1167.002026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Aerospace & Defense; Sub-Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$368
-68.4% vs market
Base · active
$329
-71.8% vs market
Bear
$272
-76.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $272
Base $329
Bull $368
Market $1167
Median $1565
Market Price $1167
Mulya.ai Base $329
Analysts Median $1565
Mulya.ai IV range ($272 · $368)
Analysts Range ($1370 · $1871)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q1$4.8B35.2%7.1%$1.6B−$771MM$799MM6.2%12.7%$12.4B$11.68
2023.Q1$5.4B13.2%40.8%24.5%$1.7B−$569MM$1.1B7.8%13.2%$13.0B$14.88
2024.Q1$6.6B21.3%44.4%23.7%$2.2B−$934MM$1.3B8.3%16.4%$14.2B$22.30
2025.Q1$7.9B20.6%44.5%22.2%$2.7B−$2.4B$314MM7.9%18.0%$16.3B$29.45
2026.Q1$9.1B14.7%46.5%21.5%$3.3B−$1.7B$1.6B8.3%19.3%$18.1B$33.8016.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6.8%
2027.Q1$10.2B+12.2%47.4%21.4%$3.8B−$2.3B$1.5B8.5%$1.4B19.8%$20.4B$65.3617.9
2028.Q1$11.0B+7.8%47.4%21.2%$4.1B−$1.7B$2.4B8.5%$2.1B19.4%$22.1B$70.6016.5
2029.Q1$11.7B+6.5%47.4%21.1%$4.4B−$1.6B$2.8B8.5%$2.2B19.2%$23.6B$75.3615.5
2030.Q1$12.4B+5.7%47.4%20.9%$4.6B−$1.5B$3.1B8.5%$2.3B19.1%$25.1B$79.8414.6
2031.Q1$13.4B+7.9%47.4%20.8%$5.0B−$2.3B$2.8B8.5%$1.8B19.1%$27.4B$86.3113.5
Term. Yr+$18.3B4.1%32.5%20.0%$4.8B−$1.8B$3.0B8.6%$29.1B10.9%
Active scenario IV: $329 (-71.8% vs market)