SW · Smurfit Westrock Plc
$39.292026-05-17Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Packaging & Containers; Sub-Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$175
+346.1% vs market
Base · active
$22
-42.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($11 · $175) Analysts Range ($45 · $61) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $10.5B | — | 10.5% | 25.6% | $822MM | −$1.5B | −$648MM | 7.3% | — | 11.8% | $7.0B | $1.31 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $12.6B | 20.3% | 11.5% | 27.4% | $1.1B | −$918MM | $139MM | 8.2% | — | 13.8% | $8.4B | $1.79 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $11.0B | -13.2% | 11.3% | 27.4% | $903MM | $56MM | $959MM | 8.0% | — | 10.4% | $9.0B | $1.39 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $20.4B | 86.0% | 4.8% | 42.4% | $560MM | −$967MM | −$408MM | 7.9% | — | 2.9% | $30.1B | $0.57 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $28.3B | 38.7% | 5.7% | 26.3% | $1.2B | $371MM | $1.6B | 8.6% | — | 3.8% | $32.3B | $1.22 | 13.2 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 8% |
| 2026.Q4 | $31.7B | +12.0% | 5.7% | 25.7% | $1.3B | −$993MM | $341MM | 9.0% | $313MM | 4.1% | $33.3B | $2.48 | 15.8 |
| 2027.Q4 | $35.2B | +11.1% | 5.9% | 25.0% | $1.5B | −$1.4B | $180MM | 9.0% | $152MM | 4.6% | $34.7B | $2.88 | 13.6 |
| 2028.Q4 | $38.8B | +10.2% | 6.1% | 24.4% | $1.8B | −$2.1B | −$307MM | 8.9% | −$237MM | 5.0% | $36.8B | $3.31 | 11.9 |
| 2029.Q4 | $42.4B | +9.3% | 6.3% | 23.8% | $2.0B | −$255MM | $1.8B | 8.9% | $1.3B | 5.5% | $37.0B | $3.78 | 10.4 |
| 2030.Q4 | $46.0B | +8.5% | 6.7% | 23.1% | $2.4B | −$291MM | $2.1B | 8.8% | $1.4B | 6.4% | $37.3B | $4.41 | 8.9 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $63.6B | 4.1% | 6.7% | 20.0% | $3.4B | −$1.6B | $1.8B | 8.6% | $17.1B | 8.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $22 (-42.8% vs market)