Mulya.ai
Ticker
SW
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.960
Beta (levered) ?1.282
Terminal OM% ?6.7%
Segment conc. ?59% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BB+ · 2.25%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

SW · Smurfit Westrock plc

$46.982026-07-21
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Packaging & Containers; Sub-Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$393
+735.5% vs market
Base · active
$30
-36.0% vs market
Bear
$25
-46.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $25
Base $30
Market $47
Median $55
Bull $393
Market Price $47
Mulya.ai Base $30
Analysts Median $55
Mulya.ai IV range ($25 · $393)
Analysts Range ($50 · $58)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$11.0B11.3%27.1%$905MM−$135MM$771MM8.1%10.7%$8.4B$1.39
2024.Q4$11.0B0.0%11.3%42.4%$716MM−$967MM−$252MM7.9%3.7%$30.1B$1.39
2025.Q1$20.4B86.0%4.8%24.2%$737MM−$1.2B−$483MM9.1%2.4%$31.3B$0.57
2025.Q4$20.4B0.0%4.8%26.3%$716MM$371MM$1.1B8.6%2.3%$32.3B$0.57
2026.Q1$30.2B48.3%6.2%42.1%$1.1B$500MM$1.6B8.6%3.4%$31.6B$0.6913.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.9%
2027.Q1$32.3B+6.7%7.1%39.9%$1.4B−$780MM$601MM8.6%$554MM4.3%$32.4B$2.5618.4
2028.Q1$34.3B+6.5%9.0%37.7%$1.9B−$1.0B$921MM8.6%$781MM5.9%$33.4B$3.5813.1
2029.Q1$36.5B+6.2%10.4%35.5%$2.5B−$1.4B$1.1B8.6%$824MM7.2%$34.8B$4.5610.3
2030.Q1$38.9B+6.8%10.4%33.3%$2.7B$0MM$2.7B8.6%$2.0B7.8%$34.8B$5.049.3
2031.Q1$42.7B+9.6%10.4%31.1%$3.1B$0MM$3.1B8.6%$2.0B8.8%$34.8B$5.708.2
Term. Yr+$55.9B4.1%6.7%20.0%$3.0B−$1.4B$1.6B8.6%$15.4B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $30 (-36.0% vs market)