Mulya.ai
Ticker
STZ
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr5
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?6.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.384
Beta (levered) ?0.505
Terminal OM% ?18.9%
Segment conc. ?84% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AA · 0.90%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

STZ · Constellation Brands, Inc.

$146.302026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Beverages - Alcoholic; Sub-Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$205
+39.9% vs market
Base · active
$40
-72.8% vs market
Bear
$47
-68.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Base $40
Bear $47
Market $146
Median $180
Bull $205
Market Price $146
Mulya.ai Base $40
Analysts Median $180
Mulya.ai IV range ($47 · $205)
Analysts Range ($155 · $197)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q4$10.0B31.5%20.6%$2.5B−$1.2B$1.3B5.7%11.5%$21.6B$9.95
2025.Q3$10.2B2.5%35.5%1.1%$3.6B−$1.3B$2.3B6.0%17.5%$19.3B$-0.47
2025.Q4$10.2B0.0%35.5%45.0%$2.0B−$635MM$1.4B6.4%10.6%$18.4B$-0.47
2026.Q3$9.1B-10.5%31.3%31.0%$2.0B$556MM$2.5B5.7%10.8%$18.2B$9.71
2026.Q4$9.1B-0.0%31.3%26.1%$2.1B$119MM$2.2B6.1%11.5%$18.6B$9.718.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.5%
2027.Q4$9.1B+-0.5%31.3%25.5%$2.1B$0MM$2.1B6.2%$2.0B11.4%$18.6B$12.2212.0
2028.Q4$9.3B+1.9%28.9%24.9%$2.0B−$10MM$2.0B6.4%$1.8B10.8%$18.7B$11.5712.6
2029.Q4$9.5B+2.3%26.4%24.3%$1.9B−$24MM$1.9B6.7%$1.6B10.1%$18.7B$10.9013.4
2030.Q4$9.9B+4.8%23.9%23.7%$1.8B−$1.9B−$119MM6.9%−$92MM9.2%$20.6B$10.4314.0
2031.Q4$10.4B+4.7%18.9%23.1%$1.5B−$1.8B−$269MM7.2%−$195MM7.0%$22.4B$8.7216.8
Term. Yr+$13.4B4.1%18.9%20.0%$2.0B−$966MM$1.1B8.6%$11.7B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $40 (-72.8% vs market)