Mulya.ai
Ticker
STX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?11.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.648
Beta (levered) ?1.720
Terminal OM% ?14.3%
Segment conc. ?diversified
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AA · 0.90%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

STX · Seagate Technology Holdings plc

$429.362026-05-17
Sector: Technology; Industry: Computer Hardware; Sub-Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$230
-46.4% vs market
Base · active
$153
-64.3% vs market
Bear
$85
-80.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $85
Base $153
Bull $230
Market $429
Median $440
Market Price $429
Mulya.ai Base $153
Analysts Median $440
Mulya.ai IV range ($85 · $230)
Analysts Range ($270 · $505)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q2$10.7B14.3%2.4%$1.5B−$467MM$1.0B9.1%19.4%$7.7B$5.79
2023.Q2$11.7B9.2%17.2%0.5%$2.0B$66MM$2.1B11.1%25.8%$7.8B$7.26
2024.Q2$7.4B-36.7%-4.6%0.0%−$391MM$1.7B$1.3B12.2%-5.9%$5.6B$-2.33
2025.Q2$6.6B-11.3%7.1%6.6%$433MM$374MM$807MM11.4%7.9%$5.4B$1.48
2026.Q2$10.1B53.5%26.0%9.1%$2.4B−$311MM$2.1B11.8%40.9%$6.2B$8.6837.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 14.3%
2027.Q2$13.3B+32.4%26.7%10.2%$3.2B−$2.1B$1.1B11.2%$1.0B44.1%$8.3B$13.3732.1
2028.Q2$15.9B+19.0%24.2%11.3%$3.4B−$1.7B$1.7B11.0%$1.4B37.4%$9.9B$14.3030.0
2029.Q2$18.9B+19.5%21.7%12.4%$3.6B−$2.1B$1.5B10.7%$1.1B32.9%$12.0B$15.2028.2
2030.Q2$22.2B+17.3%19.2%13.5%$3.7B−$2.3B$1.4B10.4%$944MM28.2%$14.3B$15.6727.4
2031.Q2$25.6B+15.1%14.3%14.6%$3.1B−$2.4B$715MM10.2%$430MM20.1%$16.7B$13.3932.1
Term. Yr+$40.0B4.1%14.3%20.0%$4.6B−$1.4B$3.1B8.6%$26.7B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $153 (-64.3% vs market)