Mulya.ai
Ticker
STX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.927
Beta (levered) ?1.960
Terminal OM% ?14.6%
Segment conc. ?diversified
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

STX · Seagate Technology Holdings plc

$899.902026-07-21
Sector: Technology; Industry: Computer Hardware; Sub-Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$333
-63.0% vs market
Base · active
$333
-63.0% vs market
Bear
$80
-91.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $80
Base $333
Bull $333
Median $763
Market $900
Market Price $900
Mulya.ai Base $333
Analysts Median $763
Mulya.ai IV range ($80 · $333)
Analysts Range ($380 · $1090)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q3$7.4B-4.6%0.0%−$519MM$1.1B$546MM13.1%-9.8%$5.3B$-2.31
2025.Q2$6.6B-11.3%7.2%6.6%$444MM$290MM$734MM11.4%8.4%$5.3B$1.46
2025.Q3$6.6B0.0%7.2%4.2%$455MM$99MM$554MM14.2%8.5%$5.4B$1.46
2026.Q2$9.1B38.9%21.8%9.1%$1.8B−$403MM$1.4B11.8%31.5%$6.0B$6.41
2026.Q3$11.0B21.0%29.8%11.2%$2.9B−$147MM$2.8B13.7%48.7%$5.9B$10.3862.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 18.5%
2027.Q3$16.3B+48.3%31.3%12.1%$4.5B−$333MM$4.2B12.3%$3.7B73.7%$6.3B$17.7650.7
2028.Q3$21.2B+29.6%27.9%12.9%$5.1B−$334MM$4.8B12.0%$3.8B80.1%$6.6B$20.4744.0
2029.Q3$25.4B+20.3%24.6%13.8%$5.4B−$330MM$5.1B11.6%$3.6B79.8%$6.9B$21.6141.6
2030.Q3$30.5B+19.9%21.3%14.7%$5.5B−$441MM$5.1B11.2%$3.3B77.5%$7.4B$22.3740.2
2031.Q3$36.6B+19.9%14.6%15.6%$4.5B−$609MM$3.9B10.8%$2.3B58.9%$8.0B$18.7747.9
Term. Yr+$62.3B4.1%14.6%20.0%$7.3B−$1.3B$6.0B8.6%$48.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $333 (-63.0% vs market)