Mulya.ai
Ticker
STLD
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.8%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.522
Beta (levered) ?1.654
Terminal OM% ?13.1%
Segment conc. ?70% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 21.2%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

STLD · Steel Dynamics, Inc.

$245.492026-07-21
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Steel; Sub-Industry: Steel

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$378
+53.9% vs market
Base · active
$378
+53.9% vs market
Bear
$153
-37.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $153
Market $245
Median $270
Base $378
Bull $378
Market Price $245
Mulya.ai Base $378
Analysts Median $270
Mulya.ai IV range ($153 · $378)
Analysts Range ($262 · $291)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$18.8B16.8%23.2%$2.4B−$1.2B$1.3B10.4%23.2%$10.4B$16.93
2024.Q4$18.8B0.0%16.8%21.8%$2.5B−$1.6B$871MM10.3%22.6%$11.4B$16.93
2025.Q1$17.5B-6.7%11.1%21.2%$1.5B−$1.4B$159MM11.1%13.2%$11.8B$10.62
2025.Q4$17.5B0.0%11.1%20.5%$1.5B−$1.0B$530MM10.4%12.8%$12.4B$10.62
2026.Q1$19.0B8.4%9.4%27.0%$1.3B−$1.1B$254MM11.0%10.4%$12.8B$9.4719.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 12.1%
2027.Q1$22.9B+20.3%9.4%26.3%$1.6B−$1.0B$573MM10.6%$518MM11.9%$13.8B$10.9622.4
2028.Q1$27.1B+18.5%10.2%25.6%$2.0B−$1.4B$652MM10.4%$534MM14.1%$15.2B$14.1417.4
2029.Q1$31.6B+16.7%10.9%24.9%$2.6B−$2.0B$582MM10.2%$432MM15.9%$17.2B$17.8613.7
2030.Q1$36.3B+14.9%11.6%24.2%$3.2B−$1.7B$1.5B10.0%$1.0B17.7%$18.9B$22.1211.1
2031.Q1$41.1B+13.1%13.1%23.5%$4.1B−$1.8B$2.3B9.8%$1.4B20.8%$20.8B$28.458.6
Term. Yr+$61.9B4.1%13.1%20.0%$6.5B−$1.3B$5.2B8.6%$46.1B21.2%
Active scenario IV: $378 (+53.9% vs market)