Mulya.ai
Ticker
SPG
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?l3yr_st
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.8%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.189
Beta (levered) ?1.644
Terminal OM% ?44.8%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A- · 1.45%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

SPG · Simon Property Group, Inc.

$226.892026-07-21
Sector: Real Estate; Industry: REIT - Retail; Sub-Industry: Retail REITs

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$88
-61.2% vs market
Base · active
$33
-85.3% vs market
Bear
$20
-91.2% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $20
Base $33
Bull $88
Median $208
Market $227
Market Price $227
Mulya.ai Base $33
Analysts Median $208
Mulya.ai IV range ($20 · $88)
Analysts Range ($192 · $230)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$5.7B49.6%4.6%$2.7B$648MM$3.3B10.1%10.3%$26.1B$7.05
2024.Q4$5.7B0.0%49.6%0.8%$2.8B$363MM$3.1B10.9%10.7%$25.7B$7.05
2025.Q1$6.0B5.4%51.9%0.0%$3.1B−$101MM$3.0B10.9%12.1%$26.0B$7.32
2025.Q4$6.0B0.0%51.9%0.7%$3.1B$562MM$3.6B11.1%10.5%$32.8B$7.32
2026.Q1$6.6B11.5%48.3%0.4%$3.2B$993MM$4.2B10.7%9.8%$32.6B$14.4522.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 8.3%
2027.Q1$6.7B+0.8%55.0%2.4%$3.6B−$182MM$3.4B9.7%$3.1B11.0%$32.7B$11.1020.4
2028.Q1$6.9B+3.0%56.5%4.3%$3.7B−$678MM$3.1B9.6%$2.5B11.3%$33.4B$11.5219.7
2029.Q1$7.1B+3.2%56.9%6.3%$3.8B−$741MM$3.1B9.5%$2.3B11.2%$34.2B$11.7219.4
2030.Q1$7.8B+8.9%51.1%8.3%$3.6B−$2.1B$1.5B9.4%$1.1B10.3%$36.3B$11.2420.2
2031.Q1$9.2B+18.6%51.1%10.2%$4.2B−$4.8B−$573MM9.3%−$364MM10.9%$41.1B$13.0517.4
Term. Yr+$15.3B4.1%44.8%20.0%$5.5B−$2.6B$2.9B8.6%$26.4B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $33 (-85.3% vs market)