Mulya.ai
Ticker
SMCI
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.3%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.869
Beta (levered) ?2.387
Terminal OM% ?7.0%
Segment conc. ?97% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

SMCI · Super Micro Computer, Inc.

$30.632026-07-21
Sector: Technology; Industry: Computer Hardware; Sub-Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$66
+116.5% vs market
Base · active
$65
+112.9% vs market
Bear
$14
-52.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $14
Market $31
Median $40
Base $65
Bull $66
Market Price $31
Mulya.ai Base $65
Analysts Median $40
Mulya.ai IV range ($14 · $66)
Analysts Range ($26 · $45)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q3$7.1B12.5%10.7%$798MM−$3.1B−$2.3B11.5%14.1%$5.7B$0.95
2025.Q2$15.0B110.4%9.5%7.3%$1.3B−$3.9B−$2.6B11.5%19.4%$7.9B$1.71
2025.Q3$15.0B0.0%9.5%10.8%$1.3B−$1.5B−$232MM12.1%16.4%$7.6B$1.71
2026.Q2$22.0B46.6%6.7%15.9%$1.2B−$1.1B$122MM11.0%14.5%$9.5B$1.56
2026.Q3$33.7B53.4%5.3%18.6%$1.4B−$9.0B−$7.5B12.2%11.9%$14.7B$1.8511.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 14.1%
2027.Q3$51.4B+52.4%6.2%18.8%$2.6B−$4.6B−$2.0B11.9%−$1.8B15.2%$19.3B$2.7811.0
2028.Q3$60.1B+17.1%6.3%18.9%$3.1B−$2.6B$472MM11.6%$378MM15.0%$21.9B$3.468.9
2029.Q3$69.4B+15.4%6.5%19.0%$3.7B−$3.3B$358MM11.3%$258MM15.5%$25.2B$4.237.2
2030.Q3$79.0B+13.8%6.7%19.2%$4.3B−$3.3B$986MM10.9%$639MM15.9%$28.5B$5.086.0
2031.Q3$88.6B+12.2%7.0%19.3%$5.0B−$3.6B$1.4B10.6%$845MM16.5%$32.0B$6.324.8
Term. Yr+$131.3B4.1%7.0%20.0%$7.3B−$2.3B$5.0B8.6%$41.5B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $65 (+112.9% vs market)