Mulya.ai
Ticker
SJM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.264
Beta (levered) ?0.595
Terminal OM% ?10.6%
Segment conc. ?32% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?B- · 5.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

SJM · The J. M. Smucker Company

$115.642026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Packaged Foods; Sub-Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$0
-434.3% vs market
Base · active
$0
-109.0% vs market
Bear
$0
-106.2% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-7
Base $-10
Bull $-387
Market $116
Median $125
Market Price $116
Mulya.ai Base $-10
Analysts Median $125
Mulya.ai IV range ($-7 · $-387)
Analysts Range ($95 · $137)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q4$8.2B16.0%25.3%$975MM−$4.0B−$3.1B5.7%6.1%$16.0B$6.97
2025.Q3$8.7B6.7%-7.7%0.0%−$4.7B−$205MM−$4.9B34.8%-30.7%$14.7B$-11.54
2025.Q4$8.7B0.0%-7.7%0.0%−$792MM−$149MM−$941MM9.2%-5.6%$13.7B$-11.54
2026.Q3$9.1B3.7%4.0%0.0%$416MM$137MM$553MM8.2%3.2%$12.6B$-1.30
2026.Q4$9.1B0.0%4.0%0.0%$801MM$228MM$1.0B7.7%6.4%$12.4B$-1.3034.3
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 2.7%
2027.Q4$8.8B+-2.7%4.0%2.0%$344MM$0MM$344MM7.7%$319MM2.8%$12.4B$3.2235.9
2028.Q4$8.8B+-0.1%4.0%4.0%$337MM$0MM$337MM7.8%$290MM2.7%$12.4B$3.1536.7
2029.Q4$9.1B+3.5%4.0%6.0%$341MM−$33MM$308MM7.9%$246MM2.7%$12.5B$3.2036.1
2030.Q4$9.4B+3.6%4.0%8.0%$346MM−$531MM−$185MM8.0%−$137MM2.7%$13.0B$3.2435.7
2031.Q4$9.8B+3.7%4.0%10.0%$351MM−$584MM−$233MM8.1%−$159MM2.6%$13.6B$3.2935.1
Term. Yr+$12.4B4.1%10.6%20.0%$1.0B−$498MM$547MM8.6%$5.6B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-109.0% vs market)