Mulya.ai
Ticker
SBUX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.977
Beta (levered) ?1.051
Terminal OM% ?19.9%
Segment conc. ?61% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A+ · 1.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

SBUX · Starbucks Corporation

$104.602026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Restaurants; Sub-Industry: Restaurants

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$90
-14.3% vs market
Base · active
$78
-25.5% vs market
Bear
$60
-42.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $60
Base $78
Bull $90
Market $105
Median $112
Market Price $105
Mulya.ai Base $78
Analysts Median $112
Mulya.ai IV range ($60 · $90)
Analysts Range ($90 · $120)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q2$36.0B19.1%23.4%$5.2B−$15.2B−$10.0B8.2%28.3%$18.6B$3.61
2025.Q1$36.2B0.6%17.5%23.7%$4.8B−$14.8B−$10.0B8.0%26.6%$17.7B$3.29
2025.Q2$36.2B0.0%17.5%24.1%$4.8B−$14.6B−$9.8B9.0%26.5%$18.5B$3.29
2026.Q1$37.2B2.8%11.2%45.0%$2.3B−$7.3B−$5.0B8.0%11.5%$21.5B$1.62
2026.Q2$38.5B3.4%10.8%45.0%$2.3B−$7.0B−$4.7B8.5%12.8%$14.2B$1.3128.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.4%
2027.Q2$38.3B+-0.4%12.7%42.5%$2.8B$0MM$2.8B8.2%$2.6B19.6%$14.2B$1.7958.4
2028.Q2$39.9B+4.2%14.1%40.0%$3.4B−$368MM$3.0B8.3%$2.6B23.4%$14.6B$2.2746.1
2029.Q2$42.5B+6.4%15.5%37.5%$4.1B−$729MM$3.4B8.3%$2.7B27.6%$15.3B$2.8736.4
2030.Q2$45.7B+7.5%17.0%35.0%$5.0B−$5.7B−$657MM8.3%−$478MM27.8%$21.0B$3.6228.9
2031.Q2$49.4B+8.0%19.9%32.5%$6.6B−$5.2B$1.4B8.4%$966MM28.0%$26.2B$4.9621.1
Term. Yr+$67.7B4.1%19.9%20.0%$10.8B−$1.9B$8.9B8.6%$88.2B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $78 (-25.5% vs market)