Mulya.ai
Ticker
SBUX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.944
Beta (levered) ?1.072
Terminal OM% ?19.6%
Segment conc. ?61% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A+ · 1.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 19.2%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

SBUX · Starbucks Corporation

$90.372026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Restaurants; Sub-Industry: Restaurants

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$68
-25.2% vs market
Base · active
$54
-40.5% vs market
Bear
$50
-45.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $50
Base $54
Bull $68
Market $90
Median $105
Market Price $90
Mulya.ai Base $54
Analysts Median $105
Mulya.ai IV range ($50 · $68)
Analysts Range ($90 · $120)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q1$29.1B19.3%21.7%$4.4B−$9.4B−$5.0B5.8%32.7%$13.4B$3.68
2023.Q1$32.3B11.0%16.5%22.8%$4.1B−$12.1B−$8.0B7.8%30.4%$13.6B$2.87
2024.Q1$36.0B11.6%18.8%23.9%$5.1B−$13.5B−$8.4B7.7%34.5%$16.3B$3.61
2025.Q1$36.2B0.6%17.2%23.7%$4.8B−$13.7B−$9.0B8.0%28.9%$16.6B$3.29
2026.Q1$37.7B4.2%10.4%45.0%$2.2B−$6.1B−$4.0B8.0%11.6%$20.4B$1.2026.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.3%
2027.Q1$38.9B+3.2%11.9%42.5%$2.7B−$9.9B−$7.2B8.1%−$6.7B10.6%$30.3B$1.7651.3
2028.Q1$40.9B+5.2%13.5%40.0%$3.3B−$2.9B$437MM8.1%$374MM10.4%$33.2B$2.2839.6
2029.Q1$43.0B+5.1%15.0%37.5%$4.0B−$1.6B$2.4B8.2%$1.9B11.9%$34.8B$2.8731.5
2030.Q1$45.0B+4.5%16.5%35.0%$4.8B−$2.7B$2.1B8.2%$1.6B13.4%$37.5B$3.5325.6
2031.Q1$46.9B+4.3%19.6%32.5%$6.2B−$2.2B$4.0B8.3%$2.7B16.1%$39.7B$4.7219.1
Term. Yr+$60.0B4.1%19.6%20.0%$9.4B−$2.0B$7.4B8.6%$74.0B19.2%
Active scenario IV: $54 (-40.5% vs market)