Mulya.ai
Ticker
RCL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr5
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.737
Beta (levered) ?2.248
Terminal OM% ?13.9%
Segment conc. ?95% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

RCL · Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

$273.592026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Travel Services; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$0
-129.6% vs market
Base · active
$0
-136.7% vs market
Bear
$0
-136.2% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-99
Base $-100
Bull $-81
Market $274
Median $366
Market Price $274
Mulya.ai Base $-100
Analysts Median $366
Mulya.ai IV range ($-99 · $-81)
Analysts Range ($318 · $425)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$1.5B-252.6%0.0%−$3.9B$475MM−$3.4B14.8%-16.4%$23.5B$-19.27
2022.Q4$8.8B477.0%-8.7%0.0%−$766MM−$330MM−$1.1B14.8%-3.2%$24.4B$-7.90
2023.Q4$13.9B57.2%20.7%0.0%$2.9B−$1.3B$1.6B12.7%11.5%$25.7B$6.22
2024.Q4$16.5B18.6%24.9%0.0%$4.1B−$1.5B$2.6B13.1%15.5%$27.3B$10.54
2025.Q4$17.9B8.8%27.4%0.3%$4.9B−$3.5B$1.4B13.4%16.7%$31.1B$15.6515.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6.9%
2026.Q4$19.7B+10.0%-6.0%2.3%−$1.2B−$3.2B−$4.4B11.8%−$3.9B-3.5%$34.3B$-4.22
2027.Q4$21.2B+7.3%-6.4%4.3%−$1.3B−$2.5B−$3.8B11.5%−$3.1B-3.6%$36.9B$-4.72
2028.Q4$23.0B+8.7%-6.5%6.2%−$1.4B−$3.2B−$4.6B11.2%−$3.3B-3.7%$40.1B$-5.16
2029.Q4$24.9B+8.1%-7.0%8.2%−$1.6B−$3.4B−$5.0B10.9%−$3.2B-3.8%$43.4B$-5.86
2030.Q4$26.7B+7.4%-7.0%10.2%−$1.7B−$3.6B−$5.2B10.5%−$3.1B-3.7%$47.0B$-6.16
Term. Yr+$36.2B4.1%13.8%20.0%$4.0B−$1.9B$2.1B8.6%$17.4B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-136.7% vs market)