Mulya.ai
Ticker
PSX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.3%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.674
Beta (levered) ?0.897
Terminal OM% ?3.3%
Segment conc. ?61% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A+ · 1.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

PSX · Phillips 66

$171.652026-07-21
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$205
+19.2% vs market
Base · active
$205
+19.2% vs market
Bear
$43
-74.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $43
Market $172
Median $177
Base $205
Bull $205
Market Price $172
Mulya.ai Base $205
Analysts Median $177
Mulya.ai IV range ($43 · $205)
Analysts Range ($140 · $212)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$147.3B5.6%23.9%$6.3B−$6.4B−$87MM7.1%13.0%$48.3B$17.37
2024.Q4$147.3B0.0%5.6%18.7%$6.7B$386MM$7.1B8.4%14.3%$45.7B$17.37
2025.Q1$143.1B-2.8%1.6%17.8%$1.9B$4.3B$6.2B10.5%4.2%$44.6B$5.25
2025.Q4$143.1B0.0%1.6%16.5%$1.9B−$9MM$1.9B8.2%4.1%$49.3B$5.25
2026.Q1$135.8B-5.1%4.7%16.1%$5.3B−$3.4B$2.0B7.2%10.7%$50.5B$10.2210.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 9.5%
2027.Q1$155.1B+14.2%4.7%16.5%$6.0B−$799MM$5.2B7.4%$4.9B11.9%$51.3B$14.9911.5
2028.Q1$175.4B+13.1%4.4%16.9%$6.4B−$1.2B$5.2B7.5%$4.5B12.3%$52.5B$15.8810.8
2029.Q1$196.4B+12.0%4.1%17.3%$6.7B−$2.1B$4.6B7.6%$3.7B12.5%$54.6B$16.6010.3
2030.Q1$226.3B+15.3%3.9%17.7%$7.2B−$1.4B$5.7B7.8%$4.3B12.9%$56.1B$17.789.7
2031.Q1$248.3B+9.7%3.3%18.1%$6.7B−$1.2B$5.5B7.9%$3.8B11.8%$57.3B$16.6510.3
Term. Yr+$351.5B4.1%3.3%20.0%$9.3B−$2.9B$6.4B8.6%$66.0B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $205 (+19.2% vs market)