PSX · Phillips 66
$176.212026-05-17Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Very High Uncertainty
Base · active
$77
-56.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($27 · $140) Analysts Range ($140 · $172) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $111.9B | — | 1.1% | 8.4% | $1.1B | $1.9B | $3.0B | 6.9% | — | 3.7% | $30.5B | $3.25 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $170.1B | 52.0% | 5.9% | 22.2% | $7.8B | −$970MM | $6.9B | 7.7% | — | 22.1% | $40.6B | $27.21 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $147.3B | -13.4% | 5.6% | 23.6% | $6.3B | −$5.9B | $419MM | 7.4% | — | 14.5% | $46.6B | $17.29 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $143.1B | -2.8% | 1.6% | 18.7% | $1.9B | $386MM | $2.3B | 8.4% | — | 4.1% | $45.7B | $5.23 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $132.4B | -7.5% | 2.7% | 16.5% | $2.9B | −$9MM | $2.9B | 8.2% | — | 6.2% | $49.3B | $10.87 | 20.3 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6.3% |
| 2026.Q4 | $138.7B | +4.7% | 2.7% | 16.8% | $3.1B | −$1.1B | $2.0B | 8.2% | $1.8B | 6.2% | $50.4B | $7.57 | 23.3 |
| 2027.Q4 | $145.1B | +4.6% | 2.8% | 17.2% | $3.4B | −$1.4B | $2.0B | 8.3% | $1.7B | 6.6% | $51.7B | $8.27 | 21.3 |
| 2028.Q4 | $151.7B | +4.6% | 2.9% | 17.5% | $3.6B | −$1.8B | $1.9B | 8.3% | $1.5B | 6.9% | $53.5B | $9.01 | 19.6 |
| 2029.Q4 | $186.0B | +22.6% | 3.0% | 17.9% | $4.7B | −$5.7B | −$1.1B | 8.3% | −$784MM | 8.3% | $59.3B | $11.48 | 15.3 |
| 2030.Q4 | $199.2B | +7.0% | 3.3% | 18.2% | $5.4B | −$2.4B | $3.0B | 8.4% | $2.0B | 8.9% | $61.6B | $13.26 | 13.3 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $255.1B | 4.1% | 3.3% | 20.0% | $6.7B | −$3.2B | $3.5B | 8.6% | $35.0B | 8.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $77 (-56.4% vs market)