Mulya.ai
Ticker
PM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?5.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.395
Beta (levered) ?0.459
Terminal OM% ?26.8%
Segment conc. ?59% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

PM · Philip Morris International Inc.

$158.102026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Tobacco; Sub-Industry: Tobacco

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$213
+34.5% vs market
Base · active
$130
-17.6% vs market
Bear
$109
-31.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $109
Base $130
Market $158
Median $200
Bull $213
Market Price $158
Mulya.ai Base $130
Analysts Median $200
Mulya.ai IV range ($109 · $213)
Analysts Range ($180 · $205)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$31.4B41.3%21.6%$10.2B−$504MM$9.7B3.8%77.0%$13.2B$5.85
2022.Q4$31.8B1.1%38.6%19.1%$9.9B−$14.0B−$4.1B5.6%44.9%$31.0B$5.81
2023.Q4$35.2B10.7%32.9%22.1%$9.0B−$990MM$8.0B5.5%27.9%$33.6B$5.00
2024.Q4$37.9B7.7%35.4%19.5%$10.8B$1.0B$11.8B6.2%34.1%$29.7B$4.51
2025.Q4$40.6B7.3%36.7%18.8%$12.1B−$1.2B$11.0B5.9%38.1%$34.0B$7.2816.5
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.6%
2026.Q4$43.7B+7.6%36.8%18.9%$13.0B−$603MM$12.4B6.2%$11.7B38.0%$34.6B$8.3718.9
2027.Q4$46.4B+6.0%36.8%19.0%$13.8B−$686MM$13.1B6.4%$11.6B39.5%$35.3B$8.8617.8
2028.Q4$49.4B+6.6%36.8%19.1%$14.7B−$1.2B$13.5B6.7%$11.2B41.0%$36.5B$9.4316.8
2029.Q4$52.5B+6.3%36.8%19.3%$15.6B$0MM$15.6B6.9%$12.1B42.7%$36.5B$10.0115.8
2030.Q4$55.6B+5.9%36.8%19.4%$16.5B$0MM$16.5B7.2%$11.9B45.2%$36.5B$10.5814.9
Term. Yr+$73.3B4.1%26.8%20.0%$15.7B−$2.7B$13.0B8.6%$143.3B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $130 (-17.6% vs market)