Mulya.ai
Ticker
PHM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.341
Beta (levered) ?1.445
Terminal OM% ?15.5%
Segment conc. ?98% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

PHM · PulteGroup, Inc.

$117.292026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Residential Construction; Sub-Industry: Homebuilding

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$213
+81.3% vs market
Base · active
$170
+45.1% vs market
Bear
$137
+16.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $117
Bear $137
Median $144
Base $170
Bull $213
Market Price $117
Mulya.ai Base $170
Analysts Median $144
Mulya.ai IV range ($137 · $213)
Analysts Range ($115 · $159)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$13.7B18.6%22.5%$2.0B−$1.3B$700MM9.4%23.6%$8.4B$9.94
2022.Q4$16.0B16.5%21.5%23.9%$2.6B−$2.4B$267MM9.9%27.7%$10.5B$13.37
2023.Q4$16.1B0.4%21.1%24.6%$2.6B−$715MM$1.8B9.6%23.7%$11.1B$13.29
2024.Q4$17.9B11.7%21.7%23.0%$3.0B−$1.7B$1.3B10.2%25.1%$12.7B$15.75
2025.Q4$17.3B-3.5%17.3%23.8%$2.3B−$757MM$1.5B10.4%17.5%$13.3B$11.337.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4%
2026.Q4$16.5B+-4.9%17.6%23.4%$2.2B$0MM$2.2B9.9%$2.0B16.8%$13.3B$11.3610.3
2027.Q4$17.3B+5.0%17.6%23.0%$2.3B−$639MM$1.7B9.8%$1.4B17.3%$13.9B$11.999.8
2028.Q4$18.6B+7.8%17.6%22.6%$2.5B−$1.0B$1.5B9.6%$1.1B17.6%$15.0B$12.999.0
2029.Q4$19.7B+5.8%17.6%22.3%$2.7B−$840MM$1.9B9.5%$1.3B17.6%$15.8B$13.808.5
2030.Q4$20.7B+5.0%17.6%21.9%$2.9B−$776MM$2.1B9.4%$1.3B17.6%$16.6B$14.568.1
Term. Yr+$26.8B4.1%15.5%20.0%$3.3B−$1.0B$2.3B8.6%$20.8B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $170 (+45.1% vs market)