Mulya.ai
Ticker
PHM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.216
Beta (levered) ?1.297
Terminal OM% ?15.5%
Segment conc. ?98% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

PHM · PulteGroup, Inc.

$137.612026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Residential Construction; Sub-Industry: Homebuilding

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$206
+49.5% vs market
Base · active
$171
+24.3% vs market
Bear
$141
+2.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $138
Bear $141
Median $147
Base $171
Bull $206
Market Price $138
Mulya.ai Base $171
Analysts Median $147
Mulya.ai IV range ($141 · $206)
Analysts Range ($115 · $162)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$16.1B21.1%24.4%$2.6B−$1.3B$1.3B9.1%22.2%$11.6B$13.42
2024.Q4$16.1B0.0%21.1%23.0%$2.6B−$1.7B$892MM10.2%21.5%$12.7B$13.42
2025.Q1$17.9B11.7%21.7%22.9%$3.0B−$1.7B$1.3B9.7%23.1%$13.2B$15.91
2025.Q4$17.9B0.0%21.7%23.8%$3.0B−$757MM$2.2B10.4%22.4%$13.3B$15.91
2026.Q1$16.8B-6.2%16.4%23.8%$2.1B−$522MM$1.6B9.3%16.1%$12.9B$10.549.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.7%
2027.Q1$16.5B+-1.7%17.6%23.4%$2.2B$0MM$2.2B9.4%$2.0B17.3%$12.9B$11.5311.9
2028.Q1$17.4B+5.5%17.6%23.0%$2.4B−$713MM$1.7B9.3%$1.4B17.8%$13.6B$12.2211.3
2029.Q1$18.2B+4.6%17.6%22.6%$2.5B−$641MM$1.8B9.3%$1.4B17.8%$14.3B$12.8510.7
2030.Q1$19.0B+4.3%17.6%22.3%$2.6B−$640MM$2.0B9.2%$1.4B17.9%$14.9B$13.4710.2
2031.Q1$19.8B+4.2%17.6%21.9%$2.7B−$661MM$2.1B9.1%$1.3B17.9%$15.6B$14.109.8
Term. Yr+$25.3B4.1%15.5%20.0%$3.1B−$982MM$2.2B8.6%$20.2B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $171 (+24.3% vs market)