Mulya.ai
Ticker
PCAR
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.8%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.046
Beta (levered) ?1.046
Terminal OM% ?13.7%
Segment conc. ?92% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

PCAR · PACCAR Inc

$118.322026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Agricultural - Machinery; Sub-Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$150
+26.6% vs market
Base · active
$44
-62.7% vs market
Bear
$61
-48.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Base $44
Bear $61
Median $108
Market $118
Bull $150
Market Price $118
Mulya.ai Base $44
Analysts Median $108
Mulya.ai IV range ($61 · $150)
Analysts Range ($86 · $138)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$23.5B9.8%22.1%$1.8B−$1.8B−$17MM7.6%10.5%$17.0B$3.54
2022.Q4$28.8B22.5%12.8%21.8%$2.9B−$1.2B$1.7B8.6%16.3%$18.3B$5.72
2023.Q4$35.1B21.9%16.9%19.5%$4.8B−$959MM$3.8B8.3%24.3%$21.1B$8.73
2024.Q4$33.7B-4.2%14.5%22.9%$3.8B−$1.0B$2.7B8.9%16.9%$23.6B$7.90
2025.Q4$28.4B-15.5%10.4%21.4%$2.3B$443MM$2.8B9.0%13.9%$10.0B$4.5121.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.2%
2026.Q4$28.2B+-0.9%11.4%21.3%$2.5B$0MM$2.5B8.8%$2.3B25.2%$10.0B$4.7924.7
2027.Q4$30.9B+9.6%11.4%21.1%$2.8B−$69MM$2.7B8.8%$2.3B27.6%$10.1B$5.2622.5
2028.Q4$33.0B+6.7%11.4%21.0%$3.0B−$98MM$2.9B8.7%$2.2B29.3%$10.2B$5.6221.1
2029.Q4$35.0B+6.3%11.4%20.9%$3.2B$0MM$3.2B8.7%$2.3B31.0%$10.2B$5.9919.8
2030.Q4$37.1B+5.9%11.4%20.7%$3.3B−$37.0B−$33.7B8.7%−$22.2B11.7%$47.2B$6.3618.6
Term. Yr+$48.9B4.1%13.7%20.0%$5.3B−$2.5B$2.8B8.6%$27.0B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $44 (-62.7% vs market)