ORLY · O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

$91.422026-05-17

Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Auto - Parts; Sub-Industry: Automotive Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored

Bull

$72

-20.8% vs market

Base · active

$61

-33.0% vs market

Bear

$58

-37.0% vs market

Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?

Bear $58

Base $61

Bull $72

Market $91

Median $109

Market Price $91

Mulya.ai Base $61

Analysts Median $109

Mulya.ai IV range ($58 · $72)

Analysts Range ($91 · $121)

Fundamentals · historical + forward · base

italics = DCF projection

Period	Revenue	Rev Gr ?	Ops M% ?	Tax Rate ?	NOPAT ?	Reinvest ?	FCFF ?	WACC% ?	PV FCFF ?	ROIC ?	Inv. Cap ?	EPS ?	P/E
2021.Q4	$13.3B	—	23.0%	22.2%	$2.4B	−$1.3B	$1.1B	5.0%	—	42.8%	$5.6B	$2.55	—
2022.Q4	$14.4B	8.1%	21.5%	22.4%	$2.4B	−$1.5B	$882MM	6.6%	—	43.8%	$5.4B	$2.56	—
2023.Q4	$15.8B	9.7%	21.1%	21.9%	$2.6B	−$2.4B	$231MM	6.4%	—	45.9%	$5.9B	$2.77	—
2024.Q4	$16.7B	5.7%	20.3%	21.6%	$2.7B	−$2.4B	$300MM	7.1%	—	43.0%	$6.5B	$2.81	—
2025.Q4	$17.8B	6.4%	20.3%	21.7%	$2.8B	−$3.1B	−$300MM	6.9%	—	40.1%	$7.7B	$2.99	21.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.4%
2026.Q4	$18.9B	+6.5%	20.4%	21.5%	$3.0B	−$3.0B	−$1MM	7.3%	−$1MM	33.0%	$10.7B	$3.41	26.8
2027.Q4	$20.1B	+6.2%	20.4%	21.3%	$3.2B	−$1.1B	$2.1B	7.5%	$1.8B	28.6%	$11.8B	$3.63	25.2
2028.Q4	$21.4B	+6.2%	20.4%	21.2%	$3.4B	−$744MM	$2.7B	7.6%	$2.2B	28.1%	$12.6B	$3.87	23.6
2029.Q4	$22.6B	+5.9%	20.4%	21.0%	$3.6B	−$1.2B	$2.4B	7.7%	$1.8B	27.6%	$13.8B	$4.11	22.2
2030.Q4	$23.9B	+5.6%	20.4%	20.8%	$3.9B	−$1.1B	$2.8B	7.8%	$1.9B	26.8%	$14.9B	$4.34	21.1

Term. Yr+	$31.3B	4.1%	19.9%	20.0%	$5.0B	−$866MM	$4.1B	8.6%	$42.8B	23.6%	—	—	—

Active scenario IV: $61 (-33.0% vs market)