ORLY · O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

$89.552026-07-21

Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Specialty Retail; Sub-Industry: Automotive Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored

Bull

$68

-23.6% vs market

Base · active

$60

-33.3% vs market

Bear

$58

-34.9% vs market

Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?

Bear $58

Base $60

Bull $68

Market $90

Median $110

Market Price $90

Mulya.ai Base $60

Analysts Median $110

Mulya.ai IV range ($58 · $68)

Analysts Range ($105 · $115)

Fundamentals · historical + forward · base

italics = DCF projection

Period	Revenue	Rev Gr ?	Ops M% ?	Tax Rate ?	NOPAT ?	Reinvest ?	FCFF ?	WACC% ?	PV FCFF ?	ROIC ?	Inv. Cap ?	EPS ?	P/E
2024.Q1	$15.8B	—	20.9%	21.5%	$2.6B	−$2.1B	$513MM	6.4%	—	44.5%	$5.8B	$2.79	—
2024.Q4	$15.8B	0.0%	20.9%	21.6%	$2.6B	−$2.0B	$624MM	7.1%	—	43.5%	$6.1B	$2.79	—
2025.Q1	$16.7B	5.7%	20.2%	21.5%	$2.6B	−$2.0B	$678MM	6.8%	—	43.2%	$6.2B	$2.83	—
2025.Q4	$16.7B	0.0%	20.2%	21.7%	$2.6B	−$2.6B	$1MM	6.9%	—	39.5%	$7.2B	$2.83	—
2026.Q1	$18.2B	9.0%	20.3%	21.9%	$2.9B	−$2.6B	$311MM	6.5%	—	40.3%	$7.1B	$3.09	20.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5%
2027.Q1	$19.4B	+6.3%	20.2%	21.8%	$3.1B	−$2.7B	$320MM	7.8%	$297MM	35.9%	$9.9B	$3.50	25.6
2028.Q1	$20.6B	+6.3%	20.2%	21.6%	$3.3B	−$1.1B	$2.2B	7.9%	$1.9B	31.3%	$11.0B	$3.73	24.0
2029.Q1	$21.6B	+5.3%	20.2%	21.4%	$3.4B	−$587MM	$2.9B	8.0%	$2.3B	30.6%	$11.5B	$3.94	22.7
2030.Q1	$22.7B	+5.1%	20.2%	21.2%	$3.6B	−$1.0B	$2.6B	8.1%	$1.9B	30.0%	$12.6B	$4.15	21.6
2031.Q1	$23.9B	+5.0%	20.2%	21.0%	$3.8B	−$933MM	$2.9B	8.1%	$2.0B	29.2%	$13.5B	$4.37	20.5

Term. Yr+	$30.9B	4.1%	19.6%	20.0%	$4.8B	−$842MM	$4.0B	8.6%	$40.6B	23.6%	—	—	—

Active scenario IV: $60 (-33.3% vs market)