Mulya.ai
Ticker
ODFL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.4%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.180
Beta (levered) ?1.181
Terminal OM% ?20.4%
Segment conc. ?99% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

ODFL · Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

$218.792026-07-21
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Trucking; Sub-Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$122
-44.4% vs market
Base · active
$113
-48.2% vs market
Bear
$57
-73.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $57
Base $113
Bull $122
Market $219
Median $225
Market Price $219
Mulya.ai Base $113
Analysts Median $225
Mulya.ai IV range ($57 · $122)
Analysts Range ($138 · $240)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$5.9B28.0%24.7%$1.2B−$377MM$858MM9.2%31.7%$3.9B$5.92
2024.Q4$5.9B0.0%28.0%23.9%$1.2B−$343MM$907MM9.7%30.9%$4.2B$5.92
2025.Q1$5.8B-0.9%26.6%23.6%$1.2B−$362MM$818MM9.8%28.1%$4.2B$5.67
2025.Q4$5.8B0.0%26.6%24.8%$1.2B−$87MM$1.1B9.8%27.5%$4.2B$5.67
2026.Q1$5.5B-6.2%24.6%24.8%$1.0B−$5MM$1.0B9.6%24.0%$4.2B$4.8134.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 7.6%
2027.Q1$5.9B+8.4%24.8%24.4%$1.1B−$96MM$1.0B9.3%$927MM26.4%$4.2B$5.3041.3
2028.Q1$6.4B+7.9%24.8%23.9%$1.2B−$129MM$1.1B9.2%$901MM27.9%$4.4B$5.7638.0
2029.Q1$6.8B+6.8%24.8%23.4%$1.3B−$175MM$1.1B9.2%$859MM29.0%$4.6B$6.1935.3
2030.Q1$7.2B+5.9%24.8%22.9%$1.4B−$84MM$1.3B9.1%$912MM30.1%$4.6B$6.5933.2
2031.Q1$8.1B+11.8%24.8%22.4%$1.6B−$197MM$1.4B9.0%$874MM32.8%$4.8B$7.4229.5
Term. Yr+$11.9B4.1%20.4%20.0%$1.9B−$337MM$1.6B8.6%$15.0B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $113 (-48.2% vs market)