Mulya.ai
Ticker
ODFL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.205
Beta (levered) ?1.206
Terminal OM% ?20.4%
Segment conc. ?99% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 18.9%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

ODFL · Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

$198.002026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Trucking; Sub-Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$111
-44.1% vs market
Base · active
$86
-56.7% vs market
Bear
$57
-71.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $57
Base $86
Bull $111
Market $198
Median $201
Market Price $198
Mulya.ai Base $86
Analysts Median $201
Mulya.ai IV range ($57 · $111)
Analysts Range ($138 · $232)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$5.3B26.5%25.5%$1.0B−$417MM$619MM8.7%33.9%$3.1B$4.93
2022.Q4$6.3B19.1%29.4%25.2%$1.4B−$582MM$795MM9.4%41.8%$3.5B$6.56
2023.Q4$5.9B-6.3%28.0%24.8%$1.2B−$489MM$745MM9.1%33.3%$3.9B$5.91
2024.Q4$5.8B-0.9%26.6%23.9%$1.2B−$343MM$833MM9.7%29.0%$4.2B$5.65
2025.Q4$5.5B-5.5%24.8%24.8%$1.0B−$87MM$937MM9.8%24.3%$4.2B$4.8830.5
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.9%
2026.Q4$5.6B+1.5%24.8%24.3%$1.0B−$116MM$930MM9.4%$850MM24.4%$4.3B$4.9939.7
2027.Q4$6.1B+9.2%24.8%23.8%$1.2B−$578MM$572MM9.3%$478MM24.8%$4.9B$5.4836.1
2028.Q4$6.4B+4.9%24.8%23.4%$1.2B−$271MM$943MM9.3%$722MM24.0%$5.2B$5.7934.2
2029.Q4$7.0B+9.8%24.8%22.9%$1.3B−$890MM$452MM9.2%$317MM23.8%$6.1B$6.3931.0
2030.Q4$7.5B+7.2%24.8%22.4%$1.4B−$637MM$810MM9.1%$521MM22.6%$6.7B$6.9028.7
Term. Yr+$10.2B4.1%20.4%20.0%$1.7B−$360MM$1.3B8.6%$12.2B18.9%
Active scenario IV: $86 (-56.7% vs market)