Mulya.ai
Ticker
NVR
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.036
Beta (levered) ?1.081
Terminal OM% ?15.1%
Segment conc. ?98% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

NVR · NVR, Inc.

$6670.232026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Residential Construction; Sub-Industry: Homebuilding

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$10112
+51.6% vs market
Base · active
$7961
+19.4% vs market
Bear
$6595
-1.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $6595
Market $6670
Base $7961
Median $8561
Bull $10112
Market Price $6670
Mulya.ai Base $7961
Analysts Median $8561
Mulya.ai IV range ($6595 · $10112)
Analysts Range ($8100 · $9022)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$9.0B16.4%22.2%$1.1B−$165MM$979MM7.7%58.8%$1.9B$413.20
2022.Q4$10.5B17.6%20.6%23.4%$1.7B−$22MM$1.6B8.6%86.4%$1.9B$576.54
2023.Q4$9.5B-9.5%19.1%17.5%$1.5B−$241MM$1.3B8.3%75.0%$2.1B$531.78
2024.Q4$10.5B10.6%18.9%20.5%$1.6B−$324MM$1.3B9.0%68.3%$2.5B$561.95
2025.Q4$10.2B-3.5%16.5%24.0%$1.3B−$155MM$1.1B9.0%46.6%$3.0B$447.6511.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.3%
2026.Q4$9.7B+-4.3%16.6%23.6%$1.2B$0MM$1.2B8.7%$1.1B41.7%$3.0B$412.7416.2
2027.Q4$10.4B+6.5%16.6%23.2%$1.3B$0MM$1.3B8.7%$1.1B44.6%$3.0B$441.6215.1
2028.Q4$11.0B+6.2%16.6%22.8%$1.4B$0MM$1.4B8.7%$1.1B47.6%$3.0B$471.2014.2
2029.Q4$11.6B+5.9%16.6%22.4%$1.5B−$2.0B−$458MM8.7%−$328MM38.1%$4.9B$501.3713.3
2030.Q4$12.3B+5.6%16.6%22.0%$1.6B−$771MM$821MM8.7%$542MM30.0%$5.7B$531.9712.5
Term. Yr+$16.1B4.1%15.1%20.0%$1.9B−$338MM$1.6B8.6%$15.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $7961 (+19.4% vs market)