Mulya.ai
Ticker
NSC
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.303
Beta (levered) ?1.573
Terminal OM% ?32.9%
Segment conc. ?63% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 9.8%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

NSC · Norfolk Southern Corporation

$288.002026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Railroads; Sub-Industry: Rail Transportation

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$298
+3.4% vs market
Base · active
$128
-55.5% vs market
Bear
$55
-81.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $55
Base $128
Market $288
Bull $298
Median $313
Market Price $288
Mulya.ai Base $128
Analysts Median $313
Mulya.ai IV range ($55 · $298)
Analysts Range ($288 · $342)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$11.1B39.2%22.5%$3.4B−$20MM$3.4B9.0%12.7%$26.7B$13.37
2022.Q4$12.7B14.4%37.1%20.8%$3.7B−$665MM$3.1B9.6%13.8%$27.6B$14.55
2023.Q4$12.2B-4.6%23.1%21.3%$2.2B$1.9B$4.1B9.3%7.9%$28.5B$8.13
2024.Q4$12.1B-0.3%31.0%21.2%$3.0B−$1.6B$1.4B9.9%10.1%$30.0B$11.66
2025.Q4$12.2B0.5%32.9%21.6%$3.1B$1.5B$4.6B10.0%10.3%$31.1B$12.7816.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.5%
2026.Q4$12.5B+2.5%32.8%21.4%$3.2B−$570MM$2.6B9.8%$2.4B10.3%$31.7B$14.3120.1
2027.Q4$13.1B+4.7%32.8%21.3%$3.4B−$1.2B$2.1B9.7%$1.8B10.5%$32.9B$15.0219.2
2028.Q4$13.7B+4.9%32.8%21.1%$3.5B−$1.5B$2.1B9.6%$1.6B10.6%$34.4B$15.7918.2
2029.Q4$14.5B+5.9%32.8%21.0%$3.8B$0MM$3.8B9.4%$2.6B11.0%$34.4B$16.7617.2
2030.Q4$15.3B+5.0%32.8%20.8%$4.0B$0MM$4.0B9.3%$2.5B11.5%$34.4B$17.6416.3
Term. Yr+$19.8B4.1%32.9%20.0%$5.2B−$2.2B$3.0B8.6%$27.8B9.8%
Active scenario IV: $128 (-55.5% vs market)