Mulya.ai
Ticker
NRG
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.265
Beta (levered) ?1.780
Terminal OM% ?23.3%
Segment conc. ?46% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BB+ · 2.25%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

NRG · NRG Energy, Inc.

$152.692026-05-17
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Independent Power Producers; Sub-Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$690
+351.6% vs market
Base · active
$643
+321.0% vs market
Bear
$409
+167.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $153
Median $202
Bear $409
Base $643
Bull $690
Market Price $153
Mulya.ai Base $643
Analysts Median $202
Mulya.ai IV range ($409 · $690)
Analysts Range ($153 · $225)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$27.0B12.4%23.5%$2.6B−$5.2B−$2.6B8.7%22.4%$11.4B$11.49
2022.Q4$31.5B16.9%6.4%26.6%$1.5B−$2.3B−$774MM9.4%12.9%$11.5B$6.41
2023.Q4$28.8B-8.6%1.3%5.2%$364MM−$263MM$101MM10.6%2.9%$13.2B$-1.06
2024.Q4$28.1B-2.4%8.6%22.3%$1.9B$26MM$1.9B9.7%14.7%$12.4B$5.91
2025.Q4$30.7B9.2%6.0%19.9%$1.5B−$1.7B−$178MM10.0%12.5%$11.4B$4.5415.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 8.9%
2026.Q4$34.9B+13.8%6.2%19.9%$1.7B−$144MM$1.6B10.0%$1.4B15.2%$11.5B$9.1316.7
2027.Q4$39.4B+12.7%7.2%19.9%$2.3B−$217MM$2.1B9.9%$1.7B19.6%$11.7B$11.9712.8
2028.Q4$44.0B+11.6%8.2%19.9%$2.9B−$395MM$2.5B9.7%$1.9B24.1%$12.1B$15.1110.1
2029.Q4$48.6B+10.6%9.6%19.9%$3.7B−$699MM$3.0B9.6%$2.1B29.9%$12.8B$19.607.8
2030.Q4$53.2B+9.5%9.6%19.9%$4.1B−$772MM$3.3B9.4%$2.1B30.9%$13.6B$21.457.1
Term. Yr+$75.0B4.1%23.3%20.0%$14.0B−$2.4B$11.5B8.6%$104.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $643 (+321.0% vs market)