Mulya.ai
Ticker
NRG
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?11.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.216
Beta (levered) ?2.431
Terminal OM% ?23.3%
Segment conc. ?46% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A- · 1.45%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

NRG · NRG Energy, Inc.

$149.362026-07-21
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Independent Power Producers; Sub-Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$641
+329.5% vs market
Base · active
$280
+87.2% vs market
Bear
$234
+56.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $149
Median $197
Bear $234
Base $280
Bull $641
Market Price $149
Mulya.ai Base $280
Analysts Median $197
Mulya.ai IV range ($234 · $641)
Analysts Range ($165 · $210)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$28.8B1.3%23.6%$293MM$1.8B$2.1B9.4%2.1%$13.8B$-0.97
2024.Q4$28.8B0.0%1.3%22.3%$298MM$26MM$324MM9.7%2.3%$12.4B$-0.97
2025.Q1$28.1B-2.4%8.6%21.5%$1.9B$420MM$2.3B10.0%15.0%$12.9B$5.41
2025.Q4$28.1B0.0%8.6%19.9%$1.9B−$1.7B$282MM10.0%16.0%$11.4B$5.41
2026.Q1$32.4B15.3%3.0%0.0%$1.3B−$8.9B−$7.6B10.7%7.3%$24.8B$1.1531.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.8%
2027.Q1$34.9B+7.5%6.2%2.0%$2.1B−$4.3B−$2.2B10.8%−$1.9B7.9%$29.0B$10.2014.6
2028.Q1$37.3B+7.1%7.1%4.0%$2.5B−$3.0B−$507MM10.6%−$414MM8.3%$32.1B$12.2012.2
2029.Q1$39.9B+6.8%8.0%6.0%$3.0B−$2.4B$614MM10.3%$454MM9.0%$34.4B$14.3510.4
2030.Q1$42.4B+6.4%9.3%8.0%$3.6B−$2.7B$955MM10.1%$642MM10.1%$37.1B$17.418.6
2031.Q1$45.0B+6.0%9.3%10.0%$3.8B−$2.4B$1.4B9.9%$841MM9.8%$39.5B$18.068.3
Term. Yr+$59.3B4.1%23.3%20.0%$11.0B−$3.5B$7.6B8.6%$66.2B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $280 (+87.2% vs market)