Mulya.ai
Ticker
NOC
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?5.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.380
Beta (levered) ?0.436
Terminal OM% ?10.1%
Segment conc. ?31% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A+ · 1.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

NOC · Northrop Grumman Corporation

$702.502026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Aerospace & Defense; Sub-Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$842
+19.9% vs market
Base · active
$394
-43.9% vs market
Bear
$313
-55.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $313
Base $394
Market $703
Median $752
Bull $842
Market Price $703
Mulya.ai Base $394
Analysts Median $752
Mulya.ai IV range ($313 · $842)
Analysts Range ($623 · $815)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$35.7B15.8%21.6%$4.4B$89MM$4.5B1.6%18.4%$24.1B$49.02
2022.Q4$36.6B2.6%9.8%16.1%$3.0B−$538MM$2.5B3.9%11.7%$27.7B$34.26
2023.Q4$39.3B7.3%6.5%12.4%$2.2B−$581MM$1.6B3.9%8.0%$27.7B$14.39
2024.Q4$41.0B4.4%10.6%16.8%$3.6B−$86MM$3.5B4.6%12.7%$29.3B$29.21
2025.Q4$42.0B2.2%10.2%17.5%$3.5B−$841MM$2.7B4.2%11.9%$30.2B$29.2723.5
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.6%
2026.Q4$43.9B+4.7%10.2%17.7%$3.7B−$420MM$3.3B6.2%$3.1B12.1%$30.6B$25.7927.2
2027.Q4$46.6B+6.2%10.2%18.0%$3.9B−$766MM$3.1B6.4%$2.8B12.6%$31.3B$27.2625.8
2028.Q4$49.1B+5.3%10.2%18.2%$4.1B−$1.0B$3.1B6.6%$2.6B12.8%$32.3B$28.5924.6
2029.Q4$51.9B+5.6%10.2%18.5%$4.3B−$953MM$3.3B6.9%$2.6B13.1%$33.3B$30.0423.4
2030.Q4$55.6B+7.2%10.1%18.7%$4.6B−$1.4B$3.1B7.1%$2.3B13.4%$34.7B$32.0121.9
Term. Yr+$75.1B4.1%10.1%20.0%$6.1B−$1.9B$4.2B8.6%$46.1B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $394 (-43.9% vs market)