Mulya.ai
Ticker
NFLX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.264
Beta (levered) ?1.314
Terminal OM% ?23.1%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

NFLX · Netflix, Inc.

$73.812026-07-21
Sector: Communication Services; Industry: Entertainment; Sub-Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$26
-65.3% vs market
Base · active
$0
-338.2% vs market
Bear
$30
-59.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Base $-176
Bull $26
Bear $30
Market $74
Median $112
Market Price $74
Mulya.ai Base $-176
Analysts Median $112
Mulya.ai IV range ($30 · $26)
Analysts Range ($96 · $135)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$33.7B22.3%12.5%$6.6B$13.5B$20.1B10.4%18.4%$35.9B$1.26
2024.Q4$33.7B0.0%22.3%12.6%$6.6B$14.3B$20.8B11.6%17.7%$38.3B$1.26
2025.Q1$39.0B15.6%28.9%12.3%$9.9B$14.1B$24.0B11.1%25.6%$39.0B$2.03
2025.Q4$39.0B0.0%28.9%13.7%$9.7B$14.6B$24.4B11.9%24.7%$39.9B$2.03
2026.Q1$46.9B20.2%32.2%16.7%$12.6B$14.4B$26.9B10.8%30.4%$42.7B$3.1121.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 7.9%
2027.Q1$53.0B+13.1%32.0%17.0%$14.1B−$14.3B−$268MM9.6%−$244MM28.2%$57.1B$3.0224.4
2028.Q1$59.0B+11.2%31.3%17.4%$15.2B−$9.1B$6.1B9.5%$5.1B24.7%$66.2B$3.2822.5
2029.Q1$64.7B+9.7%33.8%17.7%$18.0B−$6.5B$11.5B9.4%$8.7B25.9%$72.7B$3.8619.1
2030.Q1$70.1B+8.4%37.3%18.0%$21.4B−$1271.5B−$1250.0B9.3%−$869.9B3.0%$1344.2B$4.6016.0
2031.Q1$75.8B+8.2%37.3%18.4%$23.1B−$51.5B−$28.5B9.2%−$18.1B1.7%$1395.7B$4.9614.9
Term. Yr+$104.2B4.1%23.1%20.0%$19.3B−$9.2B$10.1B8.6%$93.1B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-338.2% vs market)