Mulya.ai
Ticker
MRNA
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.784
Beta (levered) ?0.803
Terminal OM% ?-8936.0%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

MRNA · Moderna, Inc.

$67.272026-07-21
Sector: Healthcare; Industry: Biotechnology; Sub-Industry: Biotechnology

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$0
-32937.2% vs market
Base · active
$0
-28501.6% vs market
Bear
$0
-1517.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-953
Base $-19106
Bull $-22090
Median $42
Market $67
Market Price $67
Mulya.ai Base $-19106
Analysts Median $42
Mulya.ai IV range ($-953 · $-22090)
Analysts Range ($33 · $77)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$6.8B-61.9%0.0%−$5.3B$330MM−$4.9B8.6%-108.8%$4.8B$-11.93
2024.Q4$6.8B0.0%-61.9%1.3%−$4.2B$351MM−$3.8B10.3%-90.2%$4.4B$-11.93
2025.Q1$3.2B-53.3%-123.3%1.4%−$3.9B$188MM−$3.7B9.1%-85.8%$4.6B$-9.02
2025.Q4$3.2B0.0%-123.3%0.0%−$4.0B−$340MM−$4.4B10.4%-87.4%$4.6B$-9.02
2026.Q1$2.2B-30.4%-150.8%0.0%−$3.4B$627MM−$2.8B9.0%-87.1%$3.3B$-8.09
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 20.6%
2027.Q1$2.2B+-2.2%-8979.5%2.0%−$191.5B$0MM−$191.5B8.0%−$177.3B-5864.5%$3.3B$-1.42
2028.Q1$2.6B+21.1%-8979.5%4.0%−$227.2B−$39MM−$227.2B8.0%−$194.8B-6917.0%$3.3B$-1.68
2029.Q1$3.6B+35.5%-8979.5%6.0%−$301.5B−$151MM−$301.7B8.1%−$239.2B-8922.5%$3.5B$-2.23
2030.Q1$5.5B+54.4%-8979.5%8.0%−$455.6B−$3.5B−$459.0B8.2%−$336.6B-8782.2%$6.9B$-3.37
2031.Q1$7.3B+31.5%-8979.5%10.0%−$586.2B−$2.8B−$589.0B8.2%−$399.1B-7042.5%$9.7B$-4.33
Term. Yr+$15.1B4.1%-8936.0%20.0%−$1077.0B$513.5B−$563.6B8.6%−$5665.9B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-28501.6% vs market)