Mulya.ai
Ticker
MPC
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?6.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.522
Beta (levered) ?0.717
Terminal OM% ?2.8%
Segment conc. ?94% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

MPC · Marathon Petroleum Corporation

$254.062026-07-21
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$72
-71.5% vs market
Base · active
$72
-71.5% vs market
Bear
$29
-88.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $29
Base $72
Bull $72
Market $254
Median $268
Market Price $254
Mulya.ai Base $72
Analysts Median $268
Mulya.ai IV range ($29 · $72)
Analysts Range ($174 · $344)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$148.4B8.5%19.6%$10.1B−$98MM$10.0B6.4%23.5%$43.1B$32.82
2024.Q4$148.4B0.0%8.5%14.9%$10.7B$6MM$10.7B7.0%25.0%$42.4B$32.82
2025.Q1$138.9B-6.4%3.8%13.4%$4.5B−$353MM$4.2B7.0%10.5%$43.9B$11.68
2025.Q4$138.9B0.0%3.8%16.2%$4.4B−$5.7B−$1.3B6.8%9.7%$46.4B$11.68
2026.Q1$135.8B-2.2%5.0%16.7%$5.7B−$4.8B$846MM6.7%12.0%$47.9B$15.7011.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 9.4%
2027.Q1$155.9B+14.9%5.0%17.1%$6.5B−$2.9B$3.6B6.9%$3.4B13.2%$50.8B$22.0211.5
2028.Q1$177.2B+13.7%4.6%17.4%$6.7B−$3.8B$2.9B7.0%$2.5B12.7%$54.6B$22.7311.2
2029.Q1$199.3B+12.5%4.1%17.7%$6.8B−$5.2B$1.5B7.2%$1.3B11.9%$59.8B$23.0011.0
2030.Q1$221.8B+11.3%3.7%18.0%$6.7B−$6.4B$364MM7.4%$277MM10.7%$66.2B$22.7711.2
2031.Q1$244.1B+10.1%2.8%18.4%$5.6B−$6.6B−$963MM7.6%−$680MM8.1%$72.8B$18.9813.4
Term. Yr+$347.8B4.1%2.8%20.0%$7.8B−$3.7B$4.1B8.6%$43.5B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $72 (-71.5% vs market)