Mulya.ai
Ticker
MGM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.396
Beta (levered) ?3.000
Terminal OM% ?43.8%
Segment conc. ?54% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BB+ · 2.25%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

MGM · MGM Resorts International

$36.682026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos; Sub-Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$342
+832.9% vs market
Base · active
$5
-86.2% vs market
Bear
$8
-79.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $8
Base $5
Market $37
Median $38
Bull $342
Market Price $37
Mulya.ai Base $5
Analysts Median $38
Mulya.ai IV range ($8 · $342)
Analysts Range ($33 · $62)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$9.7B63.6%17.3%$5.1B−$47.4B−$42.3B9.7%8.4%$60.7B$4.74
2022.Q4$13.1B35.6%29.6%45.0%$2.1B−$27.2B−$25.0B9.5%4.4%$37.1B$5.56
2023.Q4$16.2B23.1%31.6%10.7%$4.6B−$38.1B−$33.6B10.0%11.0%$45.9B$4.31
2024.Q4$17.2B6.7%23.3%4.7%$3.8B−$31.3B−$27.5B10.8%9.2%$37.5B$2.82
2025.Q4$17.5B1.7%15.4%0.0%$3.0B−$20.8B−$17.7B9.9%6.7%$52.0B$0.783.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3%
2026.Q4$17.7B+0.9%41.7%2.0%$7.2B−$26.1B−$18.9B8.2%−$17.5B11.1%$78.1B$3.749.8
2027.Q4$18.0B+1.5%42.1%4.0%$7.3B−$2.3B$5.0B8.3%$4.2B9.2%$80.4B$5.087.2
2028.Q4$18.3B+2.0%42.5%6.0%$7.3B−$1.6B$5.8B8.3%$4.5B9.0%$82.0B$6.445.7
2029.Q4$18.9B+3.1%42.9%8.0%$7.5B−$5.1B$2.4B8.3%$1.7B8.8%$87.1B$7.884.7
2030.Q4$19.6B+3.6%43.8%10.0%$7.7B−$4.8B$2.9B8.4%$1.9B8.6%$91.9B$10.773.4
Term. Yr+$24.6B4.1%43.8%20.0%$8.6B−$4.1B$4.5B8.6%$44.8B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $5 (-86.2% vs market)