Mulya.ai
Ticker
MGM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.311
Beta (levered) ?2.095
Terminal OM% ?46.3%
Segment conc. ?54% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BB+ · 2.25%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

MGM · MGM Resorts International

$49.192026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos; Sub-Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$376
+665.3% vs market
Base · active
$177
+259.2% vs market
Bear
$176
+258.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Median $44
Market $49
Bear $176
Base $177
Bull $376
Market Price $49
Mulya.ai Base $177
Analysts Median $44
Mulya.ai IV range ($176 · $376)
Analysts Range ($30 · $55)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$16.2B33.4%3.1%$5.2B−$42.6B−$37.3B9.4%10.7%$49.0B$4.41
2024.Q4$16.2B0.0%33.4%4.7%$5.1B−$43.0B−$37.8B10.8%10.5%$49.1B$4.41
2025.Q1$17.2B6.7%24.7%4.7%$4.1B−$34.0B−$30.0B10.1%9.1%$40.1B$2.88
2025.Q4$17.2B0.0%24.7%0.0%$4.7B−$33.4B−$28.7B9.9%9.0%$64.7B$2.88
2026.Q1$17.7B2.8%14.8%0.0%$3.1B−$20.6B−$17.5B10.4%6.7%$26.9B$0.714.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.3%
2027.Q1$17.8B+0.2%42.2%2.0%$7.3B−$26.8B−$19.5B8.6%−$17.9B18.2%$53.7B$3.4814.1
2028.Q1$18.1B+1.7%43.0%4.0%$7.5B−$1.4B$6.1B8.6%$5.2B13.7%$55.1B$4.959.9
2029.Q1$18.6B+3.2%43.8%6.0%$7.7B−$1.3B$6.4B8.6%$5.0B13.8%$56.4B$6.497.6
2030.Q1$19.3B+3.7%44.6%8.0%$7.9B−$6.3B$1.7B8.6%$1.2B13.3%$62.7B$8.106.1
2031.Q1$20.1B+3.9%46.3%10.0%$8.4B−$5.5B$2.9B8.6%$1.9B12.8%$68.2B$11.324.3
Term. Yr+$25.4B4.1%46.3%20.0%$9.4B−$2.9B$6.5B8.6%$62.9B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $177 (+259.2% vs market)