Mulya.ai
Ticker
MCD
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.655
Beta (levered) ?0.751
Terminal OM% ?37.8%
Segment conc. ?51% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AA · 0.90%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

MCD · McDonald's Corporation

$307.142026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Restaurants; Sub-Industry: Restaurants

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$166
-46.0% vs market
Base · active
$128
-58.2% vs market
Bear
$114
-62.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $114
Base $128
Bull $166
Market $307
Median $355
Market Price $307
Mulya.ai Base $128
Analysts Median $355
Mulya.ai IV range ($114 · $166)
Analysts Range ($320 · $385)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$23.2B48.0%17.3%$9.2B−$10.5B−$1.3B4.4%24.4%$37.7B$10.56
2022.Q4$23.2B-0.2%43.5%21.1%$8.0B−$10.9B−$2.9B6.1%21.1%$37.6B$8.65
2023.Q4$25.5B10.0%49.2%19.5%$10.1B−$12.7B−$2.7B5.9%25.1%$42.8B$11.86
2024.Q4$25.9B1.7%48.6%20.5%$10.0B−$15.4B−$5.4B6.6%22.5%$46.3B$11.51
2025.Q4$26.9B3.7%49.6%21.4%$10.5B−$13.6B−$3.1B6.4%21.6%$50.9B$11.9916.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.9%
2026.Q4$28.8B+6.9%50.0%21.3%$11.3B−$15.4B−$4.0B7.1%−$3.8B19.3%$66.2B$14.7120.9
2027.Q4$30.4B+5.8%50.0%21.1%$12.0B−$6.5B$5.5B7.3%$4.8B17.3%$72.7B$15.5919.7
2028.Q4$31.9B+4.9%50.0%21.0%$12.6B−$3.8B$8.8B7.4%$7.1B16.9%$76.5B$16.3918.7
2029.Q4$33.4B+4.8%50.0%20.9%$13.2B−$5.9B$7.3B7.6%$5.5B16.6%$82.4B$17.2017.9
2030.Q4$35.0B+4.7%50.0%20.7%$13.9B−$5.4B$8.5B7.7%$5.9B16.3%$87.8B$18.0417.0
Term. Yr+$45.0B4.1%37.8%20.0%$13.6B−$4.3B$9.4B8.6%$98.2B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $128 (-58.2% vs market)