Mulya.ai
Ticker
MAR
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.322
Beta (levered) ?1.509
Terminal OM% ?18.6%
Segment conc. ?61% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

MAR · Marriott International, Inc.

$331.932026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Travel Lodging; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$300
-9.5% vs market
Base · active
$220
-33.6% vs market
Bear
$203
-38.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $203
Base $220
Bull $300
Market $332
Median $358
Market Price $332
Mulya.ai Base $220
Analysts Median $358
Mulya.ai IV range ($203 · $300)
Analysts Range ($320 · $400)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$13.9B12.6%6.9%$1.6B$230MM$1.9B8.1%16.0%$10.2B$4.08
2022.Q4$20.8B49.9%16.7%24.3%$2.6B−$592MM$2.0B8.7%25.8%$10.1B$8.75
2023.Q4$23.7B14.2%16.3%8.7%$3.5B−$105MM$3.4B8.6%33.6%$10.9B$11.44
2024.Q4$25.1B5.8%15.0%24.6%$2.8B−$340MM$2.5B9.1%25.9%$11.1B$8.82
2025.Q4$26.2B4.3%15.8%23.4%$3.2B$147MM$3.3B9.1%27.4%$12.1B$9.6521.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.8%
2026.Q4$27.9B+6.7%15.8%23.0%$3.4B−$98MM$3.3B9.9%$3.0B28.0%$12.2B$12.6126.3
2027.Q4$29.4B+5.1%15.8%22.7%$3.6B−$88MM$3.5B9.7%$2.9B29.4%$12.3B$13.3224.9
2028.Q4$30.9B+5.0%15.8%22.4%$3.8B−$100MM$3.7B9.6%$2.8B30.7%$12.4B$14.0423.6
2029.Q4$32.4B+4.9%15.8%22.0%$4.0B−$115MM$3.9B9.5%$2.7B32.1%$12.5B$14.7922.4
2030.Q4$33.9B+4.8%15.8%21.7%$4.2B−$135MM$4.1B9.4%$2.6B33.4%$12.6B$15.5621.3
Term. Yr+$43.7B4.1%18.6%20.0%$6.5B−$1.1B$5.4B8.6%$49.1B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $220 (-33.6% vs market)