Mulya.ai
Ticker
LYB
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?11.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.885
Beta (levered) ?1.446
Terminal OM% ?12.6%
Segment conc. ?26% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 8.7%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

LYB · LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

$79.592026-05-17
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Chemicals - Specialty; Sub-Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$139
+74.0% vs market
Base · active
$29
-63.4% vs market
Bear
$0
-101.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-1
Base $29
Median $51
Market $80
Bull $139
Market Price $80
Mulya.ai Base $29
Analysts Median $51
Mulya.ai IV range ($-1 · $139)
Analysts Range ($38 · $94)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$46.2B14.7%17.1%$5.6B−$264MM$5.3B5.4%25.1%$22.3B$17.42
2022.Q4$50.5B9.3%10.1%18.5%$4.2B−$530MM$3.6B6.7%18.7%$22.1B$12.06
2023.Q4$41.1B-18.5%7.4%19.1%$2.5B$440MM$2.9B6.7%11.4%$21.1B$6.57
2024.Q4$40.3B-2.0%4.5%15.2%$1.5B$999MM$2.5B7.5%7.4%$20.6B$4.22
2025.Q4$30.2B-25.2%-1.1%0.0%−$363MM$0MM−$363MM10.6%-1.7%$21.3B$-2.31
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 2.9%
2026.Q4$30.7B+1.6%7.6%2.0%$2.3B−$360MM$1.9B11.3%$1.7B10.6%$21.6B$7.0711.3
2027.Q4$31.2B+1.9%12.9%4.0%$3.9B−$423MM$3.4B11.0%$2.8B17.7%$22.1B$11.996.6
2028.Q4$31.9B+2.2%12.9%6.0%$3.9B−$488MM$3.4B10.8%$2.5B17.3%$22.5B$11.996.6
2029.Q4$32.7B+2.5%12.9%8.0%$3.9B−$13.3B−$9.4B10.5%−$6.2B13.3%$35.8B$12.036.6
2030.Q4$33.7B+3.1%12.9%10.0%$3.9B−$3.5B$360MM10.2%$216MM10.4%$39.4B$12.146.6
Term. Yr+$41.8B4.1%12.6%20.0%$4.2B−$2.0B$2.2B8.6%$18.9B8.7%
Active scenario IV: $29 (-63.4% vs market)