Mulya.ai
Ticker
LYB
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?11.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.712
Beta (levered) ?1.256
Terminal OM% ?12.6%
Segment conc. ?26% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 18.1%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

LYB · LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

$55.732026-07-21
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Chemicals; Sub-Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$141
+153.3% vs market
Base · active
$141
+153.3% vs market
Bear
$0
-111.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-6
Market $56
Median $76
Base $141
Bull $141
Market Price $56
Mulya.ai Base $141
Analysts Median $76
Mulya.ai IV range ($-6 · $141)
Analysts Range ($53 · $100)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$41.1B7.4%17.6%$2.5B$329MM$2.8B5.8%11.5%$21.9B$6.54
2024.Q4$41.1B0.0%7.4%15.2%$2.6B$999MM$3.6B7.5%12.2%$20.6B$6.54
2025.Q1$40.3B-2.0%4.5%15.1%$1.5B$469MM$2.0B6.4%7.3%$21.6B$4.21
2025.Q4$40.3B0.0%4.5%0.0%$2.0B$0MM$2.0B10.6%9.4%$21.3B$4.21
2026.Q1$29.7B-26.4%-0.7%0.0%−$215MM$494MM$279MM9.4%-1.0%$20.3B$-2.46
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 9.4%
2027.Q1$34.0B+14.7%7.6%2.0%$2.5B−$932MM$1.6B11.0%$1.4B12.2%$21.3B$7.837.1
2028.Q1$38.6B+13.5%6.7%4.0%$2.5B−$1.3B$1.2B10.7%$985MM11.4%$22.5B$7.707.2
2029.Q1$43.4B+12.3%6.7%6.0%$2.7B−$1.9B$851MM10.5%$627MM11.7%$24.4B$8.476.6
2030.Q1$48.3B+11.2%6.7%8.0%$3.0B$0MM$3.0B10.3%$2.0B12.2%$24.4B$9.226.0
2031.Q1$53.1B+10.0%6.7%10.0%$3.2B$0MM$3.2B10.0%$1.9B13.1%$24.4B$9.925.6
Term. Yr+$75.5B4.1%12.6%20.0%$7.6B−$1.7B$5.9B8.6%$50.7B18.1%
Active scenario IV: $141 (+153.3% vs market)