Mulya.ai
Ticker
LUV
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.184
Beta (levered) ?1.446
Terminal OM% ?6.4%
Segment conc. ?91% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A- · 1.45%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

LUV · Southwest Airlines Co.

$37.602026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Airlines, Airports & Air Services; Sub-Industry: Passenger Airlines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$38
+0.9% vs market
Base · active
$34
-10.2% vs market
Bear
$25
-33.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $25
Base $34
Market $38
Bull $38
Median $50
Market Price $38
Mulya.ai Base $34
Analysts Median $50
Mulya.ai IV range ($25 · $38)
Analysts Range ($32 · $73)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$15.8B10.9%26.2%$1.3B$1.8B$3.0B8.5%23.1%$5.5B$1.88
2022.Q4$23.8B50.8%4.3%26.0%$753MM$2.8B$3.6B9.3%12.4%$6.6B$1.03
2023.Q4$26.1B9.6%0.9%26.4%$165MM−$798MM−$633MM9.0%2.4%$7.3B$0.89
2024.Q4$27.5B5.3%1.2%22.4%$249MM−$2.1B−$1.8B9.6%3.1%$8.7B$0.89
2025.Q4$28.1B2.1%1.5%21.7%$335MM−$1.4B−$1.0B9.6%3.6%$10.0B$0.8545.8
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.7%
2026.Q4$32.1B+14.4%1.5%21.5%$385MM−$2.6B−$2.3B9.4%−$2.1B3.4%$12.6B$0.7450.8
2027.Q4$33.6B+4.5%2.5%21.3%$659MM−$737MM−$78MM9.3%−$65MM5.1%$13.3B$1.2629.8
2028.Q4$35.0B+4.5%3.5%21.2%$958MM−$625MM$333MM9.2%$255MM7.0%$14.0B$1.8420.4
2029.Q4$36.6B+4.4%4.4%21.0%$1.3B−$674MM$609MM9.2%$427MM9.0%$14.6B$2.4615.3
2030.Q4$39.8B+8.8%6.4%20.8%$2.0B−$1.4B$640MM9.1%$411MM13.1%$16.0B$3.869.7
Term. Yr+$50.9B4.1%6.4%20.0%$2.6B−$813MM$1.8B8.6%$16.7B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $34 (-10.2% vs market)