Mulya.ai
Ticker
LITE
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.297
Beta (levered) ?1.405
Terminal OM% ?22.9%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 9.0%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

LITE · Lumentum Holdings Inc.

$816.982026-07-21
Sector: Technology; Industry: Communication Equipment; Sub-Industry: Communications Equipment

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$133
-83.7% vs market
Base · active
$133
-83.7% vs market
Bear
$70
-91.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $70
Base $133
Bull $133
Market $817
Median $1014
Market Price $817
Mulya.ai Base $133
Analysts Median $1014
Mulya.ai IV range ($70 · $133)
Analysts Range ($550 · $1270)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q3$1.8B-6.5%0.0%−$167MM−$613MM−$780MM10.4%-4.5%$3.7B$-1.37
2025.Q2$1.4B-23.1%-31.9%0.0%−$632MM$228MM−$405MM10.8%-17.5%$3.5B$-5.68
2025.Q3$1.4B0.0%-31.9%0.0%−$662MM$150MM−$513MM11.8%-19.0%$3.5B$-5.68
2026.Q2$1.6B21.0%-10.9%0.0%−$887MM−$173MM−$1.1B13.1%-23.9%$3.9B$0.27
2026.Q3$2.5B51.3%12.0%0.0%$478MM−$269MM$208MM10.7%12.1%$4.0B$4.57263.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 27.2%
2027.Q3$5.7B+127.8%15.0%2.0%$835MM−$5.3B−$4.5B10.0%−$4.1B12.5%$9.4B$5.50148.5
2028.Q3$8.6B+52.1%16.6%4.0%$1.4B−$5.2B−$3.8B9.8%−$3.2B11.5%$14.5B$9.6984.3
2029.Q3$12.8B+48.5%18.2%6.0%$2.2B−$7.7B−$5.5B9.7%−$4.2B11.9%$22.2B$16.2750.2
2030.Q3$15.9B+24.3%19.7%8.0%$2.9B−$6.0B−$3.1B9.6%−$2.2B11.4%$28.3B$22.4436.4
2031.Q3$18.3B+15.1%22.9%10.0%$3.8B−$4.9B−$1.1B9.4%−$711MM12.3%$33.2B$31.2326.2
Term. Yr+$28.6B4.1%22.9%20.0%$5.2B−$2.4B$2.9B8.6%$25.9B9.0%
Active scenario IV: $133 (-83.7% vs market)