Mulya.ai
Ticker
LITE
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.412
Beta (levered) ?1.803
Terminal OM% ?86.7%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?B- · 5.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

LITE · Lumentum Holdings Inc.

$826.882026-05-17
Sector: Technology; Industry: Communication Equipment; Sub-Industry: Communications Equipment

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$1781
+115.3% vs market
Base · active
$1761
+112.9% vs market
Bear
$256
-69.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $256
Median $475
Market $827
Base $1761
Bull $1781
Market Price $827
Mulya.ai Base $1761
Analysts Median $475
Mulya.ai IV range ($256 · $1781)
Analysts Range ($220 · $800)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q2$1.7B84.3%14.4%$1.2B$106MM$1.3B8.0%66.8%$1.9B$2.27
2023.Q2$1.7B0.0%84.3%45.0%$794MM−$978MM−$184MM9.9%34.0%$2.8B$2.27
2024.Q2$1.8B3.2%-6.5%0.0%−$167MM−$703MM−$870MM11.0%-5.1%$3.8B$-1.50
2025.Q2$1.4B-23.1%-31.9%0.0%−$632MM$195MM−$437MM10.8%-17.6%$3.4B$-6.22
2026.Q2$2.1B54.9%5.6%0.0%$584MM−$210MM$374MM13.1%16.0%$3.9B$2.87612.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 28.6%
2027.Q2$4.4B+107.9%26.8%2.0%$1.1B−$4.2B−$3.0B11.7%−$2.7B19.3%$8.1B$0.581425.7
2028.Q2$6.2B+41.0%38.8%4.0%$2.3B−$3.3B−$1.0B11.4%−$815MM23.6%$11.4B$3.10266.7
2029.Q2$8.4B+36.4%50.8%6.0%$4.0B−$4.1B−$134MM11.1%−$97MM29.8%$15.5B$7.20114.8
2030.Q2$11.1B+31.7%62.8%8.0%$6.4B−$4.9B$1.4B10.8%$947MM35.5%$20.5B$13.2462.5
2031.Q2$14.1B+27.1%86.7%10.0%$11.0B−$5.6B$5.4B10.5%$3.2B47.3%$26.0B$26.3131.4
Term. Yr+$27.2B4.1%86.7%20.0%$18.8B−$3.3B$15.6B8.6%$129.8B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $1761 (+112.9% vs market)