Mulya.ai
Ticker
ITW
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.123
Beta (levered) ?1.228
Terminal OM% ?27.1%
Segment conc. ?20% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

ITW · Illinois Tool Works Inc.

$258.212026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Industrial - Machinery; Sub-Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$267
+3.5% vs market
Base · active
$217
-16.0% vs market
Bear
$196
-23.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $196
Base $217
Market $258
Bull $267
Median $277
Market Price $258
Mulya.ai Base $217
Analysts Median $277
Mulya.ai IV range ($196 · $267)
Analysts Range ($253 · $285)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$14.5B30.6%19.0%$3.6B−$1.3B$2.3B8.1%35.2%$10.2B$9.28
2022.Q4$15.9B10.2%30.3%21.0%$3.8B−$765MM$3.0B8.9%36.7%$10.6B$10.45
2023.Q4$16.1B1.1%31.9%22.7%$4.0B−$67MM$3.9B8.6%37.6%$10.6B$10.19
2024.Q4$15.9B-1.3%34.2%21.1%$4.3B−$18MM$4.3B9.2%40.3%$10.7B$12.02
2025.Q4$16.0B0.9%33.5%22.7%$4.2B−$1.7B$2.5B9.2%34.6%$13.3B$10.5714.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.8%
2026.Q4$16.6B+3.2%33.5%22.4%$4.3B−$428MM$3.9B9.0%$3.6B31.9%$13.7B$11.6522.2
2027.Q4$17.1B+3.4%33.5%22.1%$4.5B−$469MM$4.0B9.0%$3.4B32.1%$14.2B$12.0921.4
2028.Q4$17.7B+3.5%33.5%21.9%$4.6B−$499MM$4.1B8.9%$3.2B32.2%$14.7B$12.5620.6
2029.Q4$18.5B+4.4%33.5%21.6%$4.9B−$648MM$4.2B8.9%$3.0B32.4%$15.3B$13.1619.6
2030.Q4$19.3B+4.3%33.5%21.4%$5.1B−$657MM$4.4B8.9%$2.9B32.5%$16.0B$13.7618.8
Term. Yr+$24.4B4.1%27.1%20.0%$5.3B−$918MM$4.4B8.6%$41.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $217 (-16.0% vs market)