Mulya.ai
Ticker
ITW
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.030
Beta (levered) ?1.125
Terminal OM% ?27.0%
Segment conc. ?20% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

ITW · Illinois Tool Works Inc.

$267.712026-07-21
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Industrial - Machinery; Sub-Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$265
-1.0% vs market
Base · active
$221
-17.4% vs market
Bear
$201
-24.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $201
Base $221
Bull $265
Market $268
Median $275
Market Price $268
Mulya.ai Base $221
Analysts Median $275
Mulya.ai IV range ($201 · $265)
Analysts Range ($254 · $285)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$16.1B31.7%22.9%$3.9B−$270MM$3.7B8.5%36.5%$10.8B$10.23
2024.Q4$16.1B0.0%31.7%21.1%$4.0B−$8MM$4.0B9.2%37.6%$10.7B$10.23
2025.Q1$15.9B-1.3%33.9%20.6%$4.3B$110MM$4.4B9.0%39.4%$11.0B$12.07
2025.Q4$15.9B0.0%33.9%22.7%$4.2B−$781MM$3.4B9.2%36.6%$11.8B$12.07
2026.Q1$16.2B2.0%33.4%22.4%$4.2B−$1.7B$2.5B8.8%33.3%$13.5B$10.8414.3
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.8%
2027.Q1$16.8B+3.3%33.3%22.1%$4.3B−$447MM$3.9B8.7%$3.6B31.7%$13.9B$11.8822.5
2028.Q1$17.3B+3.5%33.3%21.9%$4.5B−$483MM$4.0B8.7%$3.4B31.8%$14.4B$12.3321.7
2029.Q1$17.9B+3.5%33.3%21.7%$4.7B−$512MM$4.2B8.7%$3.3B31.9%$14.9B$12.8020.9
2030.Q1$18.6B+3.8%33.3%21.4%$4.9B−$571MM$4.3B8.6%$3.1B32.0%$15.5B$13.3320.1
2031.Q1$19.4B+3.9%33.3%21.2%$5.1B−$615MM$4.5B8.6%$3.0B32.1%$16.1B$13.9019.3
Term. Yr+$24.5B4.1%27.0%20.0%$5.3B−$916MM$4.4B8.6%$42.3B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $221 (-17.4% vs market)