Mulya.ai
Ticker
HWM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.994
Beta (levered) ?1.020
Terminal OM% ?8.9%
Segment conc. ?71% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

HWM · Howmet Aerospace Inc.

$232.682026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Industrial - Machinery; Sub-Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$33
-85.7% vs market
Base · active
$33
-85.7% vs market
Bear
$23
-90.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $23
Base $33
Bull $33
Market $233
Median $277
Market Price $233
Mulya.ai Base $33
Analysts Median $277
Mulya.ai IV range ($23 · $33)
Analysts Range ($228 · $315)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$5.0B17.4%20.4%$690MM−$266MM$424MM8.8%9.8%$7.1B$0.64
2022.Q4$5.7B13.9%18.3%22.6%$800MM−$98MM$702MM9.5%11.4%$7.0B$1.16
2023.Q4$6.6B17.3%18.8%21.5%$977MM−$290MM$687MM9.2%13.8%$7.2B$1.89
2024.Q4$7.4B11.9%22.5%16.5%$1.4B$39MM$1.4B9.8%19.3%$7.3B$2.86
2025.Q4$8.3B11.1%25.8%18.0%$1.7B−$559MM$1.2B9.9%23.3%$7.7B$3.7344.1
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 8.7%
2026.Q4$9.3B+12.3%25.8%18.2%$2.0B−$260MM$1.7B8.6%$1.6B25.1%$7.9B$4.8448.1
2027.Q4$10.4B+12.1%22.4%18.4%$1.9B−$379MM$1.5B8.6%$1.3B23.4%$8.3B$4.7149.4
2028.Q4$11.4B+9.8%19.1%18.6%$1.8B−$505MM$1.3B8.6%$988MM20.7%$8.8B$4.3853.1
2029.Q4$12.3B+8.2%15.7%18.8%$1.6B−$358MM$1.2B8.6%$873MM17.5%$9.2B$3.8959.8
2030.Q4$13.7B+10.8%8.9%19.0%$986MM−$575MM$412MM8.6%$273MM10.4%$9.7B$2.4495.4
Term. Yr+$19.8B4.1%8.9%20.0%$1.4B−$441MM$968MM8.6%$9.4B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $33 (-85.7% vs market)