Mulya.ai
Ticker
HWM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.973
Beta (levered) ?1.008
Terminal OM% ?8.9%
Segment conc. ?71% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

HWM · Howmet Aerospace Inc.

$268.872026-07-21
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Aerospace & Defense; Sub-Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$37
-86.4% vs market
Base · active
$36
-86.4% vs market
Bear
$24
-90.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $24
Base $36
Bull $37
Market $269
Median $300
Market Price $269
Mulya.ai Base $36
Analysts Median $300
Mulya.ai IV range ($24 · $37)
Analysts Range ($228 · $330)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$6.6B18.8%18.7%$1.0B−$251MM$761MM9.2%14.0%$7.2B$1.90
2024.Q4$6.6B0.0%18.8%16.5%$1.0B$39MM$1.1B9.8%14.3%$7.3B$1.90
2025.Q1$7.4B11.9%22.5%17.7%$1.4B−$11MM$1.4B9.8%18.4%$7.6B$2.87
2025.Q4$7.4B0.0%22.5%18.0%$1.4B−$559MM$811MM9.9%17.9%$7.7B$2.87
2026.Q1$8.6B16.1%27.5%17.0%$2.0B−$563MM$1.4B9.5%25.5%$7.8B$4.3345.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 8.4%
2027.Q1$10.1B+16.8%27.5%17.3%$2.3B−$337MM$2.0B8.5%$1.8B28.9%$8.1B$5.6947.3
2028.Q1$11.3B+12.4%23.8%17.6%$2.2B−$386MM$1.8B8.5%$1.6B26.7%$8.5B$5.5148.8
2029.Q1$12.5B+10.5%20.1%17.9%$2.1B−$549MM$1.5B8.5%$1.2B23.5%$9.0B$5.1252.5
2030.Q1$13.6B+8.9%16.4%18.2%$1.8B−$538MM$1.3B8.5%$927MM19.6%$9.6B$4.5259.5
2031.Q1$14.7B+8.1%8.9%18.5%$1.1B−$581MM$486MM8.5%$324MM10.8%$10.2B$2.65101.5
Term. Yr+$20.2B4.1%8.9%20.0%$1.4B−$450MM$988MM8.6%$9.7B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $36 (-86.4% vs market)