Mulya.ai
Ticker
HSY
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?4.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.081
Beta (levered) ?0.090
Terminal OM% ?8.5%
Segment conc. ?88% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AA · 0.90%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

HSY · The Hershey Company

$179.112026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Food Confectioners; Sub-Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$2077
+1059.5% vs market
Base · active
$35
-80.5% vs market
Bear
$35
-80.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $35
Base $35
Market $179
Median $227
Bull $2077
Market Price $179
Mulya.ai Base $35
Analysts Median $227
Mulya.ai IV range ($35 · $2077)
Analysts Range ($182 · $260)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$11.2B22.9%13.6%$2.2B−$1.3B$906MM4.6%24.6%$9.0B$9.11
2024.Q4$11.2B0.0%22.9%10.2%$2.3B−$260MM$2.0B5.1%25.5%$9.1B$9.11
2025.Q1$11.2B0.3%25.9%9.0%$2.6B−$283MM$2.4B5.1%29.0%$9.1B$10.87
2025.Q4$11.2B0.0%25.9%27.3%$2.1B−$414MM$1.7B4.6%23.1%$9.1B$10.87
2026.Q1$12.0B7.0%14.1%26.2%$1.2B−$417MM$829MM4.6%13.6%$9.2B$5.3621.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.7%
2027.Q1$12.3B+3.0%14.1%25.6%$1.3B−$607MM$686MM4.9%$654MM13.6%$9.8B$6.3328.3
2028.Q1$12.7B+3.1%13.0%25.0%$1.2B−$463MM$774MM5.3%$700MM12.3%$10.3B$6.0629.6
2029.Q1$13.1B+3.2%11.8%24.4%$1.2B−$385MM$791MM5.7%$677MM11.2%$10.7B$5.7631.1
2030.Q1$13.6B+3.3%10.7%23.7%$1.1B−$445MM$664MM6.0%$536MM10.2%$11.1B$5.4333.0
2031.Q1$14.2B+4.9%8.5%23.1%$926MM−$678MM$249MM6.4%$189MM8.1%$11.8B$4.5439.5
Term. Yr+$17.9B4.1%8.5%20.0%$1.2B−$578MM$634MM8.6%$7.5B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $35 (-80.5% vs market)