HSY · The Hershey Company
$206.192026-05-17Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Food Confectioners; Sub-Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$911
+342.1% vs market
Base · active
$49
-76.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($35 · $911) Analysts Range ($181 · $267) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $9.0B | — | 22.8% | 17.5% | $1.7B | −$1.9B | −$178MM | 2.2% | — | 22.5% | $7.5B | $7.27 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $10.4B | 16.1% | 21.7% | 14.2% | $1.9B | −$445MM | $1.5B | 4.4% | — | 25.6% | $7.7B | $8.09 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $11.2B | 7.2% | 22.9% | 14.3% | $2.2B | −$1.1B | $1.1B | 4.3% | — | 27.2% | $8.5B | $9.16 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $11.2B | 0.3% | 25.9% | 10.2% | $2.6B | −$260MM | $2.3B | 5.1% | — | 29.7% | $9.1B | $10.93 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $11.7B | 4.4% | 12.1% | 27.3% | $1.0B | −$414MM | $617MM | 4.6% | — | 11.3% | $9.1B | $4.35 | 29.6 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.4% |
| 2026.Q4 | $12.2B | +4.7% | 12.1% | 26.5% | $1.1B | −$376MM | $714MM | 5.0% | $680MM | 11.7% | $9.5B | $5.36 | 38.5 |
| 2027.Q4 | $12.8B | +4.6% | 11.4% | 25.8% | $1.1B | −$404MM | $678MM | 5.4% | $612MM | 11.2% | $9.9B | $5.32 | 38.8 |
| 2028.Q4 | $13.4B | +4.6% | 10.7% | 25.1% | $1.1B | −$435MM | $634MM | 5.8% | $541MM | 10.6% | $10.3B | $5.26 | 39.2 |
| 2029.Q4 | $14.0B | +4.7% | 9.9% | 24.4% | $1.1B | −$488MM | $564MM | 6.1% | $454MM | 9.9% | $10.8B | $5.18 | 39.8 |
| 2030.Q4 | $14.6B | +4.4% | 8.5% | 23.6% | $946MM | −$496MM | $450MM | 6.5% | $340MM | 8.6% | $11.3B | $4.65 | 44.3 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $18.8B | 4.1% | 8.5% | 20.0% | $1.3B | −$397MM | $872MM | 8.6% | $10.2B | 13.1% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $49 (-76.4% vs market)