Mulya.ai
Ticker
HLT
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.300
Beta (levered) ?1.450
Terminal OM% ?19.4%
Segment conc. ?66% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 21.8%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

HLT · Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

$332.862026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Travel Lodging; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$33
-90.2% vs market
Base · active
$131
-60.7% vs market
Bear
$115
-65.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bull $33
Bear $115
Base $131
Market $333
Median $345
Market Price $333
Mulya.ai Base $131
Analysts Median $345
Mulya.ai IV range ($115 · $33)
Analysts Range ($312 · $373)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$10.2B21.7%31.1%$1.5B$762MM$2.3B8.6%25.6%$6.0B$4.92
2024.Q4$10.2B0.0%21.7%13.7%$1.9B$212MM$2.1B9.3%31.4%$6.2B$4.92
2025.Q1$11.2B9.2%21.2%14.1%$2.0B$294MM$2.3B9.3%33.2%$6.0B$6.62
2025.Q4$11.2B0.0%21.2%29.7%$1.7B$495MM$2.2B9.0%24.9%$7.3B$6.62
2026.Q1$12.3B9.9%23.1%29.4%$2.0B$571MM$2.6B8.9%30.4%$5.8B$6.6527.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6.7%
2027.Q1$13.3B+8.4%22.6%28.4%$2.2B−$337MM$1.8B9.7%$1.7B35.8%$6.2B$9.2735.9
2028.Q1$14.4B+8.1%23.2%27.5%$2.4B−$394MM$2.0B9.6%$1.7B38.0%$6.6B$10.4331.9
2029.Q1$15.5B+7.9%23.5%26.6%$2.7B−$468MM$2.2B9.5%$1.7B39.3%$7.0B$11.5328.9
2030.Q1$16.8B+8.1%27.8%25.6%$3.5B$0MM$3.5B9.4%$2.4B49.2%$7.0B$14.9322.3
2031.Q1$18.0B+7.4%27.8%24.7%$3.8B$0MM$3.8B9.3%$2.4B53.5%$7.0B$16.2320.5
Term. Yr+$24.4B4.1%19.4%20.0%$3.8B−$714MM$3.1B8.6%$28.3B21.8%
Active scenario IV: $131 (-60.7% vs market)