Mulya.ai
Ticker
HLT
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.329
Beta (levered) ?1.509
Terminal OM% ?20.3%
Segment conc. ?66% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 19.4%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

HLT · Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

$304.992026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Travel Lodging; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$152
-50.0% vs market
Base · active
$117
-61.6% vs market
Bear
$92
-69.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $92
Base $117
Bull $152
Market $305
Median $317
Market Price $305
Mulya.ai Base $117
Analysts Median $317
Mulya.ai IV range ($92 · $152)
Analysts Range ($255 · $373)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$5.8B18.3%27.3%$769MM−$1.1B−$281MM8.0%10.8%$7.1B$1.72
2022.Q4$8.8B51.6%25.0%27.5%$1.6B−$1.1B$514MM8.8%21.2%$7.9B$5.27
2023.Q4$10.2B16.7%22.8%32.0%$1.6B−$644MM$941MM8.4%20.6%$7.5B$4.79
2024.Q4$11.2B9.2%22.2%13.7%$2.1B−$1.3B$875MM9.3%28.1%$7.7B$6.45
2025.Q4$12.0B7.7%23.4%29.7%$2.0B−$1.2B$797MM9.0%23.7%$9.0B$6.1225.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 7%
2026.Q4$13.1B+8.7%23.6%28.7%$2.2B−$1.3B$947MM9.8%$862MM22.9%$10.3B$8.8534.5
2027.Q4$14.2B+8.1%25.4%27.8%$2.6B−$1.1B$1.5B9.6%$1.3B24.0%$11.3B$10.4029.3
2028.Q4$15.2B+7.3%24.0%26.8%$2.7B−$886MM$1.8B9.5%$1.4B22.7%$12.2B$10.7128.5
2029.Q4$16.6B+9.0%28.9%25.8%$3.5B−$1.5B$2.0B9.4%$1.4B27.3%$13.7B$14.2121.5
2030.Q4$17.9B+8.1%28.9%24.8%$3.9B−$1.5B$2.4B9.3%$1.5B26.8%$15.2B$15.5719.6
Term. Yr+$24.6B4.1%20.3%20.0%$4.0B−$845MM$3.2B8.6%$29.0B19.4%
Active scenario IV: $117 (-61.6% vs market)