Mulya.ai
Ticker
FDX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.286
Beta (levered) ?1.601
Terminal OM% ?9.3%
Segment conc. ?83% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

FDX · FedEx Corporation

$361.632026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics; Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$145
-59.9% vs market
Base · active
$79
-78.2% vs market
Bear
$76
-79.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $76
Base $79
Bull $145
Median $355
Market $362
Market Price $362
Mulya.ai Base $79
Analysts Median $355
Mulya.ai IV range ($76 · $145)
Analysts Range ($210 · $479)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q3$83.8B8.4%24.7%$5.3B−$20.4B−$15.1B7.2%9.5%$56.0B$21.53
2023.Q3$93.5B11.6%8.2%23.7%$5.9B−$21.6B−$15.7B9.1%10.3%$57.9B$15.74
2024.Q3$90.2B-3.6%7.0%26.0%$4.6B−$17.2B−$12.6B9.0%8.1%$56.3B$16.35
2025.Q3$87.7B-2.7%8.5%25.3%$5.6B−$19.4B−$13.8B10.2%9.6%$59.6B$17.82
2026.Q3$91.9B4.8%7.7%24.1%$5.4B−$18.1B−$12.7B9.8%8.7%$64.3B$18.4512.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.6%
2027.Q3$97.2B+5.7%8.2%23.7%$6.1B−$18.6B−$12.6B9.1%−$11.5B8.2%$82.9B$21.2317.0
2028.Q3$101.9B+4.8%8.2%23.3%$6.4B−$7.0B−$619MM9.0%−$521MM7.4%$89.9B$22.3716.2
2029.Q3$106.2B+4.3%8.2%22.9%$6.7B−$4.2B$2.5B9.0%$1.9B7.3%$94.1B$23.4615.4
2030.Q3$111.1B+4.6%8.2%22.5%$7.0B−$7.6B−$540MM8.9%−$383MM7.2%$101.7B$24.6614.7
2031.Q3$116.2B+4.7%8.2%22.1%$7.4B−$7.1B$307MM8.9%$200MM7.0%$108.8B$25.9413.9
Term. Yr+$149.5B4.1%9.3%20.0%$11.1B−$5.3B$5.8B8.6%$55.2B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $79 (-78.2% vs market)