Mulya.ai
Ticker
FDX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.299
Beta (levered) ?1.670
Terminal OM% ?9.2%
Segment conc. ?83% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

FDX · FedEx Corporation

$318.532026-07-21
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics; Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$208
-34.7% vs market
Base · active
$165
-48.3% vs market
Bear
$181
-43.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Base $165
Bear $181
Bull $208
Market $319
Median $340
Market Price $319
Mulya.ai Base $165
Analysts Median $340
Mulya.ai IV range ($181 · $208)
Analysts Range ($160 · $479)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q4$87.7B8.3%25.8%$5.4B−$16.8B−$11.4B9.3%9.6%$56.3B$17.97
2025.Q3$87.9B0.3%7.9%25.3%$5.2B−$16.0B−$10.8B10.2%9.2%$56.2B$16.98
2025.Q4$87.9B0.0%7.9%24.8%$5.2B−$16.4B−$11.2B9.9%9.2%$57.7B$16.98
2026.Q3$94.7B7.7%8.0%24.1%$5.8B−$16.6B−$10.8B9.8%9.5%$62.8B$18.39
2026.Q4$94.7B0.0%7.7%23.5%$5.6B−$15.5B−$9.9B9.4%9.1%$59.4B$18.4010.5
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.2%
2027.Q4$94.2B+-0.5%8.1%23.1%$5.9B$0MM$5.9B9.2%$5.4B9.9%$59.4B$21.2415.0
2028.Q4$94.4B+0.2%8.1%22.8%$5.9B−$45MM$5.8B9.1%$4.9B9.9%$59.4B$21.3814.9
2029.Q4$98.2B+4.0%8.1%22.4%$6.2B−$1.3B$4.9B9.1%$3.8B10.3%$60.7B$22.3314.3
2030.Q4$102.1B+4.0%8.1%22.1%$6.4B−$9.1B−$2.7B9.0%−$1.9B9.9%$69.8B$23.3313.7
2031.Q4$106.3B+4.1%8.1%21.7%$6.7B−$7.6B−$883MM8.9%−$572MM9.1%$77.4B$24.3913.1
Term. Yr+$135.1B4.1%9.2%20.0%$9.9B−$4.7B$5.2B8.6%$49.1B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $165 (-48.3% vs market)