Mulya.ai
Ticker
FAST
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.3%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.948
Beta (levered) ?0.951
Terminal OM% ?18.1%
Segment conc. ?89% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

FAST · Fastenal Company

$46.302026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Industrial - Distribution; Sub-Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$27
-41.4% vs market
Base · active
$25
-46.4% vs market
Bear
$24
-48.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $24
Base $25
Bull $27
Market $46
Median $47
Market Price $46
Mulya.ai Base $25
Analysts Median $47
Mulya.ai IV range ($24 · $27)
Analysts Range ($43 · $52)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$6.0B20.3%23.4%$932MM−$305MM$628MM6.5%28.4%$3.3B$0.80
2022.Q4$7.0B16.1%20.8%24.5%$1.1B−$321MM$776MM7.7%32.0%$3.6B$0.94
2023.Q4$7.3B5.2%20.8%24.1%$1.2B$114MM$1.3B7.5%32.8%$3.5B$1.00
2024.Q4$7.5B2.7%20.0%23.7%$1.2B−$205MM$947MM8.1%32.3%$3.7B$1.00
2025.Q4$8.2B8.7%20.2%23.9%$1.3B$171MM$1.4B8.0%33.3%$3.9B$1.0932.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.6%
2026.Q4$9.0B+10.2%20.2%23.6%$1.4B−$96MM$1.3B8.4%$1.2B35.3%$4.0B$1.2138.3
2027.Q4$9.8B+8.6%20.2%23.2%$1.5B−$119MM$1.4B8.4%$1.2B37.5%$4.1B$1.3235.1
2028.Q4$10.4B+6.0%20.2%22.8%$1.6B−$137MM$1.5B8.4%$1.2B38.7%$4.3B$1.4132.8
2029.Q4$10.9B+5.0%20.2%22.4%$1.7B$0MM$1.7B8.4%$1.2B40.2%$4.3B$1.4931.1
2030.Q4$11.4B+4.6%20.2%22.0%$1.8B$0MM$1.8B8.5%$1.2B42.3%$4.3B$1.5629.7
Term. Yr+$14.7B4.1%18.1%20.0%$2.1B−$370MM$1.8B8.6%$17.3B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $25 (-46.4% vs market)