Mulya.ai
Ticker
EXPD
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.107
Beta (levered) ?1.131
Terminal OM% ?8.3%
Segment conc. ?39% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

EXPD · Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

$145.812026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics; Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$135
-7.6% vs market
Base · active
$111
-23.9% vs market
Bear
$111
-23.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $111
Base $111
Bull $135
Median $141
Market $146
Market Price $146
Mulya.ai Base $111
Analysts Median $141
Mulya.ai IV range ($111 · $135)
Analysts Range ($95 · $166)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$16.5B11.6%26.3%$1.4B−$664MM$744MM8.1%76.2%$1.8B$10.51
2022.Q4$17.1B3.3%10.7%25.9%$1.4B$639MM$2.0B9.0%89.6%$1.2B$10.08
2023.Q4$9.3B-45.5%10.1%25.9%$696MM$214MM$910MM8.6%64.8%$977MM$5.59
2024.Q4$10.6B14.0%9.8%25.9%$772MM−$188MM$584MM9.3%71.5%$1.2B$6.02
2025.Q4$11.1B4.4%9.5%25.8%$781MM$57MM$838MM9.3%55.9%$1.6B$6.0218.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.6%
2026.Q4$11.2B+1.1%9.6%25.2%$799MM−$17MM$782MM9.0%$717MM49.3%$1.6B$5.9324.6
2027.Q4$11.6B+3.6%9.6%24.6%$834MM−$56MM$778MM9.0%$655MM50.3%$1.7B$6.1923.6
2028.Q4$12.0B+3.6%9.6%24.0%$871MM−$57MM$814MM8.9%$629MM50.8%$1.7B$6.4722.5
2029.Q4$12.5B+3.7%9.6%23.5%$910MM−$59MM$851MM8.9%$604MM51.4%$1.8B$6.7621.6
2030.Q4$12.9B+3.8%9.6%22.9%$952MM−$61MM$891MM8.8%$581MM52.0%$1.9B$7.0720.6
Term. Yr+$16.4B4.1%8.3%20.0%$1.1B−$189MM$899MM8.6%$8.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $111 (-23.9% vs market)