ERIE · Erie Indemnity Company
$238.712026-07-21Sector: Financial Services; Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty; Sub-Industry: Insurance Brokers
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Base · active
$276
+15.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($251 · $380) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2024.Q1 | $3.3B | — | 15.9% | 20.6% | $413MM | −$152MM | $261MM | 5.5% | — | 27.2% | $1.5B | $8.47 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $3.3B | 0.0% | 15.9% | 20.7% | $412MM | −$186MM | $227MM | 6.3% | — | 25.8% | $1.7B | $8.47 | — |
| 2025.Q1 | $3.8B | 16.1% | 17.8% | 20.7% | $536MM | −$280MM | $256MM | 5.8% | — | 31.0% | $1.8B | $11.39 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $3.8B | 0.0% | 17.8% | 21.3% | $532MM | $196MM | $729MM | 6.1% | — | 28.9% | $1.9B | $11.39 | — |
| 2026.Q1 | $4.1B | 7.8% | 17.9% | 21.3% | $577MM | −$303MM | $275MM | 5.5% | — | 29.5% | $2.0B | $10.84 | 17.1 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.5% |
| 2027.Q1 | $4.4B | +6.9% | 17.9% | 21.2% | $618MM | −$140MM | $478MM | 6.5% | $448MM | 29.6% | $2.2B | $11.73 | 20.4 |
| 2028.Q1 | $4.7B | +6.6% | 18.0% | 21.1% | $664MM | −$146MM | $518MM | 6.7% | $456MM | 29.8% | $2.3B | $12.60 | 18.9 |
| 2029.Q1 | $5.0B | +6.3% | 18.1% | 20.9% | $711MM | −$150MM | $560MM | 6.9% | $461MM | 29.9% | $2.5B | $13.49 | 17.7 |
| 2030.Q1 | $5.3B | +6.0% | 18.2% | 20.8% | $759MM | −$155MM | $605MM | 7.1% | $464MM | 30.0% | $2.6B | $14.41 | 16.6 |
| 2031.Q1 | $5.6B | +5.8% | 18.4% | 20.7% | $813MM | −$158MM | $655MM | 7.3% | $468MM | 30.3% | $2.8B | $15.43 | 15.5 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $7.3B | 4.1% | 18.4% | 20.0% | $1.1B | −$187MM | $890MM | 8.6% | $9.6B | 23.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $276 (+15.5% vs market)