ERIE · Erie Indemnity Company
$249.512026-05-17Sector: Financial Services; Industry: Insurance - Brokers; Sub-Industry: Insurance Brokers
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Bull
$511
+105.0% vs market
Base · active
$306
+22.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($271 · $511) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $2.6B | — | 12.1% | 20.9% | $252MM | $258MM | $510MM | 4.0% | — | 20.7% | $1.2B | $5.65 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $2.8B | 7.8% | 13.2% | 20.7% | $298MM | −$102MM | $197MM | 5.8% | — | 23.9% | $1.3B | $5.67 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $3.3B | 15.1% | 15.9% | 20.6% | $413MM | −$187MM | $225MM | 5.6% | — | 30.4% | $1.4B | $8.47 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $3.8B | 16.1% | 17.8% | 20.7% | $536MM | −$186MM | $351MM | 6.3% | — | 34.5% | $1.7B | $11.39 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $4.3B | 13.4% | 16.7% | 21.3% | $566MM | $196MM | $762MM | 6.1% | — | 31.6% | $1.9B | $10.62 | 18.3 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.5% |
| 2026.Q4 | $4.6B | +6.9% | 16.7% | 21.2% | $605MM | −$35MM | $571MM | 6.2% | $537MM | 31.6% | $1.9B | $11.49 | 21.7 |
| 2027.Q4 | $4.9B | +6.6% | 17.0% | 21.0% | $660MM | −$39MM | $621MM | 6.4% | $550MM | 33.8% | $2.0B | $12.53 | 19.9 |
| 2028.Q4 | $5.2B | +6.3% | 17.4% | 20.9% | $717MM | −$43MM | $674MM | 6.7% | $559MM | 36.0% | $2.0B | $13.62 | 18.3 |
| 2029.Q4 | $5.5B | +6.0% | 17.7% | 20.8% | $777MM | −$49MM | $729MM | 6.9% | $565MM | 38.1% | $2.1B | $14.75 | 16.9 |
| 2030.Q4 | $5.9B | +5.8% | 18.4% | 20.6% | $856MM | −$55MM | $801MM | 7.2% | $580MM | 40.9% | $2.1B | $16.24 | 15.4 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $7.7B | 4.1% | 18.4% | 20.0% | $1.1B | −$197MM | $937MM | 8.6% | $10.3B | 23.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $306 (+22.8% vs market)