Mulya.ai
Ticker
EL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.800
Beta (levered) ?0.966
Terminal OM% ?19.7%
Segment conc. ?49% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BBB · 1.75%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 18.9%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

EL · The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

$69.122026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Household & Personal Products; Sub-Industry: Personal Care Products

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$111
+60.6% vs market
Base · active
$89
+28.2% vs market
Bear
$38
-44.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $38
Market $69
Base $89
Median $110
Bull $111
Market Price $69
Mulya.ai Base $89
Analysts Median $110
Mulya.ai IV range ($38 · $111)
Analysts Range ($70 · $140)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q2$16.2B17.8%16.8%$2.4B−$4.6B−$2.2B6.6%22.0%$10.9B$7.87
2023.Q2$17.7B9.4%19.7%21.2%$2.8B−$5.3B−$2.6B8.6%24.1%$12.0B$6.55
2024.Q2$15.9B-10.3%10.5%39.4%$1.0B−$4.0B−$3.0B8.2%8.3%$12.2B$2.76
2025.Q2$15.6B-1.9%6.9%0.0%$1.2B−$1.3B−$134MM11.7%10.5%$10.5B$1.07
2026.Q2$14.7B-6.0%8.0%45.0%$649MM−$742MM−$93MM8.7%5.8%$11.7B$-0.4921.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.9%
2027.Q2$15.3B+4.4%8.9%42.5%$781MM−$254MM$528MM7.7%$490MM6.6%$12.0B$1.7639.3
2028.Q2$16.0B+4.3%11.0%40.0%$1.1B−$317MM$742MM7.8%$638MM8.7%$12.3B$2.4728.0
2029.Q2$16.7B+4.8%13.2%37.5%$1.4B−$455MM$927MM7.9%$740MM11.1%$12.7B$3.3120.9
2030.Q2$17.7B+5.5%15.4%35.0%$1.8B−$1.1B$618MM8.0%$457MM13.3%$13.9B$4.2916.1
2031.Q2$18.7B+5.9%19.7%32.5%$2.5B−$1.2B$1.3B8.1%$863MM17.2%$15.1B$6.1911.2
Term. Yr+$24.6B4.1%19.7%20.0%$3.9B−$842MM$3.0B8.6%$31.0B18.9%
Active scenario IV: $89 (+28.2% vs market)