Mulya.ai
Ticker
DOW
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.710
Beta (levered) ?1.114
Terminal OM% ?13.9%
Segment conc. ?51% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 11.7%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

DOW · Dow Inc.

$41.402026-05-17
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Chemicals; Sub-Industry: Commodity Chemicals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$62
+49.5% vs market
Base · active
$38
-8.1% vs market
Bear
$19
-54.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $19
Median $28
Base $38
Market $41
Bull $62
Market Price $41
Mulya.ai Base $38
Analysts Median $28
Mulya.ai IV range ($19 · $62)
Analysts Range ($25 · $38)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$55.0B14.3%21.4%$6.2B−$929MM$5.3B5.5%21.2%$29.3B$8.79
2022.Q4$56.9B3.5%9.4%23.8%$4.1B−$223MM$3.8B6.9%13.3%$31.8B$6.38
2023.Q4$44.6B-21.6%5.6%0.0%$2.5B$1.3B$3.8B7.3%8.2%$30.2B$0.82
2024.Q4$43.0B-3.7%4.8%24.9%$1.5B−$1.8B−$271MM7.4%5.1%$30.9B$1.55
2025.Q4$40.0B-7.0%-1.8%2.7%−$718MM−$1.1B−$1.8B10.2%-2.4%$29.6B$-3.65
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.5%
2026.Q4$40.9B+2.4%-1.9%4.4%−$722MM−$750MM−$1.5B10.4%−$1.3B-2.4%$30.3B$-1.01
2027.Q4$42.2B+3.1%1.3%6.1%$519MM−$990MM−$471MM10.3%−$386MM1.7%$31.3B$0.7257.5
2028.Q4$43.5B+3.2%4.5%7.9%$1.8B−$1.0B$758MM10.1%$565MM5.6%$32.3B$2.5016.6
2029.Q4$45.0B+3.4%7.6%9.6%$3.1B−$1.4B$1.7B9.9%$1.2B9.4%$33.7B$4.329.6
2030.Q4$46.6B+3.5%13.9%11.3%$5.8B−$1.4B$4.3B9.7%$2.7B16.7%$35.2B$8.025.2
Term. Yr+$58.6B4.1%13.9%20.0%$6.5B−$2.3B$4.3B8.6%$37.7B11.7%
Active scenario IV: $38 (-8.1% vs market)