DLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.

$123.872026-07-21

Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Discount Stores; Sub-Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored

Bull

$56

-55.2% vs market

Base · active

$46

-63.0% vs market

Bear

$50

-59.9% vs market

Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?

Base $46

Bear $50

Bull $56

Median $121

Market $124

Market Price $124

Mulya.ai Base $46

Analysts Median $121

Mulya.ai IV range ($50 · $56)

Analysts Range ($85 · $165)

Fundamentals · historical + forward · base

italics = DCF projection

Period	Revenue	Rev Gr ?	Ops M% ?	Tax Rate ?	NOPAT ?	Reinvest ?	FCFF ?	WACC% ?	PV FCFF ?	ROIC ?	Inv. Cap ?	EPS ?	P/E
2024.Q1	$16.8B	—	12.0%	0.0%	$2.0B	−$4.5B	−$2.5B	8.5%	—	13.5%	$15.0B	$-5.06	—
2024.Q4	$16.8B	0.0%	12.0%	24.9%	$1.5B	−$3.8B	−$2.3B	7.3%	—	11.9%	$10.5B	$-5.06	—
2025.Q1	$17.6B	4.8%	9.4%	25.2%	$1.2B	−$3.1B	−$1.9B	7.3%	—	12.1%	$10.1B	$-15.35	—
2025.Q4	$17.6B	0.0%	9.4%	24.8%	$1.2B	−$3.0B	−$1.8B	7.2%	—	12.2%	$10.4B	$-15.35	—
2026.Q1	$19.7B	12.3%	9.7%	24.6%	$1.4B	−$3.4B	−$1.9B	7.1%	—	14.4%	$9.6B	$6.52	12.8
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.4%
2027.Q1	$19.7B	+-0.1%	11.0%	24.1%	$1.6B	$0MM	$1.6B	7.0%	$1.5B	17.1%	$9.6B	$7.34	16.9
2028.Q1	$20.9B	+6.2%	11.0%	23.6%	$1.8B	−$247MM	$1.5B	7.1%	$1.3B	18.0%	$9.9B	$7.84	15.8
2029.Q1	$22.2B	+5.8%	11.0%	23.2%	$1.9B	−$348MM	$1.5B	7.3%	$1.2B	18.6%	$10.2B	$8.35	14.8
2030.Q1	$23.4B	+5.4%	11.0%	22.7%	$2.0B	−$2.8B	−$809MM	7.5%	−$612MM	17.1%	$13.0B	$8.85	14.0
2031.Q1	$24.5B	+4.9%	11.0%	22.3%	$2.1B	−$2.1B	−$32MM	7.6%	−$23MM	14.9%	$15.1B	$9.34	13.3

Term. Yr+	$31.7B	4.1%	7.2%	20.0%	$1.8B	−$855MM	$955MM	8.6%	$10.1B	8.7%	—	—	—

Active scenario IV: $46 (-63.0% vs market)