Mulya.ai
Ticker
DECK
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.161
Beta (levered) ?1.166
Terminal OM% ?13.4%
Segment conc. ?43% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

DECK · Deckers Outdoor Corporation

$98.312026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Apparel - Footwear & Accessories; Sub-Industry: Footwear

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$142
+44.0% vs market
Base · active
$106
+7.6% vs market
Bear
$101
+2.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $98
Bear $101
Base $106
Median $115
Bull $142
Market Price $98
Mulya.ai Base $106
Analysts Median $115
Mulya.ai IV range ($101 · $142)
Analysts Range ($90 · $161)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q3$2.5B20.1%22.2%$399MM−$311MM$88MM6.9%54.5%$732MM$2.60
2023.Q3$3.1B23.8%18.2%22.1%$448MM−$279MM$168MM8.9%55.1%$892MM$3.07
2024.Q3$3.6B15.1%18.3%22.1%$517MM$108MM$625MM8.8%66.7%$657MM$3.51
2025.Q3$4.3B18.2%22.0%22.5%$731MM−$214MM$516MM10.0%111.6%$653MM$5.16
2026.Q3$5.4B25.3%24.2%22.6%$1.0B−$444MM$564MM9.5%129.9%$898MM$7.0611.1
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.7%
2027.Q3$5.8B+7.3%24.6%22.3%$1.1B−$68MM$1.0B9.2%$948MM118.3%$967MM$7.2513.6
2028.Q3$6.2B+7.0%22.4%22.1%$1.1B−$74MM$1.0B9.1%$842MM107.3%$1.0B$7.0813.9
2029.Q3$6.6B+6.7%20.1%21.8%$1.0B−$78MM$958MM9.0%$738MM96.0%$1.1B$6.8414.4
2030.Q3$7.0B+6.3%17.9%21.6%$981MM−$82MM$899MM9.0%$635MM84.7%$1.2B$6.5015.1
2031.Q3$7.4B+5.9%13.4%21.3%$781MM−$87MM$694MM8.9%$450MM62.8%$1.3B$5.2218.8
Term. Yr+$9.8B4.1%13.4%20.0%$1.0B−$182MM$865MM8.6%$8.2B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $106 (+7.6% vs market)