Mulya.ai
Ticker
DECK
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr4
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.146
Beta (levered) ?1.151
Terminal OM% ?13.4%
Segment conc. ?43% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

DECK · Deckers Outdoor Corporation

$104.562026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Apparel - Footwear & Accessories; Sub-Industry: Footwear

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$118
+12.9% vs market
Base · active
$113
+7.6% vs market
Bear
$87
-17.2% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $87
Market $105
Base $113
Median $117
Bull $118
Market Price $105
Mulya.ai Base $113
Analysts Median $117
Mulya.ai IV range ($87 · $118)
Analysts Range ($90 · $145)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q4$4.3B22.0%22.4%$733MM−$105MM$628MM9.1%81.4%$900MM$5.37
2025.Q3$5.0B16.3%24.1%22.5%$931MM−$304MM$626MM10.0%113.3%$743MM$6.83
2025.Q4$5.0B0.0%24.1%22.3%$933MM−$372MM$561MM9.6%108.1%$985MM$6.83
2026.Q3$5.5B9.4%23.3%22.6%$982MM−$469MM$513MM9.5%102.9%$923MM$7.24
2026.Q4$5.5B0.2%23.4%22.8%$989MM−$232MM$757MM9.4%102.7%$1.0B$7.2411.5
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6%
2027.Q4$5.9B+7.9%23.9%22.5%$1.1B−$81MM$1.0B9.1%$927MM104.6%$1.1B$7.4314.1
2028.Q4$6.3B+7.4%21.8%22.2%$1.1B−$83MM$991MM9.0%$833MM95.3%$1.2B$7.3314.3
2029.Q4$6.8B+7.2%19.7%21.9%$1.0B−$88MM$956MM9.0%$737MM86.2%$1.3B$7.1414.6
2030.Q4$7.2B+6.8%17.6%21.7%$999MM−$90MM$909MM8.9%$644MM76.8%$1.3B$6.8615.2
2031.Q4$7.7B+6.3%13.4%21.4%$813MM−$92MM$721MM8.9%$469MM58.4%$1.4B$5.6418.5
Term. Yr+$10.2B4.1%13.4%20.0%$1.1B−$191MM$907MM8.6%$8.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $113 (+7.6% vs market)